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The $500B Question: Why Decentralized AI Infrastructure Is the Sleeper Play of 2026

· 9 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

When President Trump announced the $500 billion Stargate Project in January 2025—the largest single AI infrastructure investment in history—most crypto investors shrugged. Centralized data centers. Big Tech partnerships. Nothing to see here.

They missed the point entirely.

Stargate isn't just building AI infrastructure. It's creating the demand curve that will make decentralized AI compute not just viable, but essential. As hyperscalers struggle to deploy 10 gigawatts of compute capacity by 2029, a parallel network of 435,000+ GPU containers is already live, offering the same services at 86% lower cost.

The AI × Crypto convergence isn't a narrative. It's a $33 billion market that's doubling while you read this.

The Corporate Bitcoin Rush: How 228 Public Companies Built $148B in Digital Asset Treasuries

· 10 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

In January 2025, roughly 70 public companies held Bitcoin on their balance sheets. By October, that number had surged past 228. Collectively, these "Digital Asset Treasury" (DAT) companies now hold approximately $148 billion in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies—a threefold increase in market capitalization from the $40 billion recorded just twelve months earlier.

This isn't speculation anymore. It's a structural shift in how corporations think about their balance sheets.

The numbers tell a story of accelerating institutional adoption: public companies now control 4.07% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist, up from 3.3% at the start of the year. Private businesses have pushed total corporate Bitcoin holdings to 6.2% of supply—a staggering 21x increase since January 2020. And $12.5 billion in new business Bitcoin inflows during just eight months of 2025 exceeded all of 2024's total.

But this gold rush has a darker side. Strategy's stock plummeted 52% from its peak. Semler Scientific dropped 74%. GameStop's Bitcoin pivot flopped. The "premium era is over," as one analyst put it. What's driving this corporate Bitcoin frenzy, who's winning, and who's getting crushed?

The New Rules of Corporate Finance

Two forces converged in 2025 to transform Bitcoin from a speculative curiosity into a legitimate corporate treasury asset: regulatory clarity and accounting reform.

FASB Changes Everything

For years, companies holding Bitcoin faced an accounting nightmare. Under the old rules, crypto assets were treated as indefinite-lived intangible assets—meaning companies could only record impairments (losses) but never recognize gains until they sold. A company that bought Bitcoin at $20,000 and watched it rise to $100,000 would still carry it at cost, but if the price dipped to $19,000 for even a moment, they'd have to write it down.

That changed on January 1, 2025, when FASB's ASU 2023-08 became mandatory for all calendar-year entities. The new standard requires companies to measure crypto assets at fair value each reporting period, reflecting both gains and losses in net income.

The impact was immediate. Tesla, which holds 11,509 BTC unchanged since early purchases, recorded a $600 million mark-to-market gain under the new rules. Companies that had been sitting on unrealized gains could finally report them. Bitcoin became a much cleaner asset for corporate balance sheets.

Regulatory Tailwinds

The GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act moving through Congress in 2025 provided something corporate treasurers had been waiting for: predictability. While neither bill has fully passed, the bipartisan momentum signaled that crypto wasn't going to be regulated out of existence.

For CFOs evaluating Bitcoin as a treasury asset, this regulatory trajectory matters more than any specific rule. The risk of holding an asset that might be banned or severely restricted dropped significantly. "Once Bitcoin rebounds," one analyst noted, "no CFO wants to be the one who ignored the cheapest balance-sheet trade of the cycle."

The Titans: Who Holds What

The corporate Bitcoin landscape is dominated by a handful of massive players, but the field is rapidly expanding.

Strategy: The $33 Billion Behemoth

Michael Saylor's company—now rebranded from MicroStrategy to simply "Strategy"—remains the undisputed king. As of January 2026, the firm holds 673,783 BTC acquired at an average price of $66,385, representing a total investment of $33.1 billion.

Strategy's "42/42 Plan" (originally the "21/21 Plan" before being doubled) targets $84 billion in capital raises through 2027—$42 billion in equity and $42 billion in fixed-income securities—to continue Bitcoin accumulation. In 2025 alone, they raised $6.8 billion through at-the-market programs and preferred stock offerings.

The scale is unprecedented. Strategy now controls approximately 3.2% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist. MSCI's decision to maintain the company's index status validated the "Digital Asset Treasury" model and made MSTR a primary vehicle for institutional Bitcoin exposure.

Marathon Digital: The Mining Powerhouse

MARA Holdings sits second with 46,376 BTC as of March 2025. Unlike Strategy, which simply buys Bitcoin, Marathon produces it through mining operations—giving the company a different cost basis and operational profile.

What sets MARA apart in 2025 is yield generation. The company began lending out portions of its holdings—7,377 BTC as of January 2025—to generate single-digit percentage returns. This addresses one of the key criticisms of corporate Bitcoin holdings: that they're dead assets producing no income.

Metaplanet: Asia's Biggest Bet

Tokyo-listed Metaplanet emerged as the breakout story of 2025. The company acquired 30,823 BTC valued at $2.7 billion by year-end, making it Asia's largest corporate Bitcoin holder and a global top-ten treasury.

Metaplanet's ambition extends further: 100,000 BTC by end of 2026 and 210,000 BTC by 2027—roughly 1% of total Bitcoin supply. The company represents the model going international, proving the Strategy playbook works beyond U.S. markets.

Twenty One Capital: The Tether-Backed Newcomer

Twenty One Capital launched as the "super newcomer" of 2025. This new entity went public through a SPAC merger with Cantor Equity Partners, backed by an unlikely coalition: Cantor Fitzgerald, Tether, SoftBank, and Bitfinex.

The initial raise brought $360 million and 42,000 BTC (valued at approximately $3.9 billion) onto the balance sheet. Tether contributed $160 million; SoftBank added $900 million; Bitfinex contributed $600 million. Twenty One represents the institutionalization of the DAT model—major financial players building purpose-built Bitcoin treasury vehicles.

The Newcomers: Mixed Results

Not every company riding the Bitcoin treasury wave found success.

GameStop: The Meme Stock Struggles Again

GameStop announced in March 2025 that it was issuing $1.3 billion in zero-coupon convertible bonds specifically for Bitcoin purchases. By May, the company had acquired 4,710 BTC.

The market reaction was brutal. Shares briefly jumped 7% on the announcement before crashing double digits. Three months later, the stock remained down over 13%. GameStop proved that a Bitcoin pivot couldn't cure fundamental business problems—and that investors could see through purely financial engineering.

Semler Scientific: From Hero to Acquisition

Semler Scientific, a healthcare technology company, saw its stock rise fivefold after announcing its Bitcoin treasury transformation in May 2024. By April 2025, the company planned to issue $500 million in securities explicitly for Bitcoin purchases.

But the 2025 downturn hit hard. Semler's stock dropped 74% from peak levels. In September 2025, Strive, Inc. announced an all-stock acquisition of Semler—a merger of two Bitcoin treasuries that looked less like expansion and more like consolidation of wounded players.

The Copycat Problem

"Not everyone can be Strategy," observed one analyst, "and there's no surefire formula that says a quick rebranding or merger plus adding bitcoin equals success."

Companies including Solarbank and ECD Automotive Design announced Bitcoin pivots hoping for stock pops. None materialized. The market began distinguishing between companies with genuine Bitcoin strategies and those using crypto as a PR tactic.

The Hidden Story: Small Business Adoption

While public company treasuries grab headlines, the real adoption story might be happening in private businesses.

According to the River Business Report 2025, small businesses are leading Bitcoin adoption: 75% of business Bitcoin users have fewer than 50 employees. These companies allocate a median 10% of net income to Bitcoin purchases.

The appeal for small businesses differs from public company motivations. Without access to sophisticated treasury management tools, Bitcoin offers a simple inflation hedge. Without public market scrutiny, they can hold through volatility without quarterly earnings pressure. Tax-loss harvesting strategies—selling at losses to offset gains, then immediately repurchasing (legal for Bitcoin but not stocks)—provide additional flexibility.

The Bear Case Emerges

The 2025 market correction exposed fundamental questions about the DAT model.

Leverage and Dilution

Strategy's model depends on continuously raising capital to buy more Bitcoin. When Bitcoin prices fall, the company's stock falls faster due to leverage effects. This creates pressure to issue more shares at lower prices—diluting existing shareholders to maintain the acquisition pace.

Since Bitcoin plummeted 30% from its October 2025 high, treasury companies entered what critics called a "death spiral." Strategy shares fell 52%. The premium investors paid for Bitcoin exposure through these stocks evaporated.

"The Premium Era Is Over"

"We're entering a phase where only disciplined structures and real business execution are going to survive," warned John Fakhoury of Stacking Sats. The structural weaknesses—leverage, dilution, and reliance on continuous capital raises—became impossible to ignore.

For companies with actual operating businesses, adding Bitcoin might enhance shareholder value. For companies whose entire thesis is Bitcoin accumulation, the model faces existential questions when Bitcoin prices decline.

What Comes Next

Despite the challenges, the trend isn't reversing. Bernstein analysts project public companies globally could allocate $330 billion to Bitcoin over the next five years. Standard Chartered expects this corporate treasury adoption to drive Bitcoin toward $200,000.

Several developments will shape 2026:

FASB Expansion

In August 2025, FASB added a research project on digital assets to "explore targeted improvements to the accounting for and disclosure of certain digital assets and related transactions." This signals potential further normalization of crypto assets in corporate accounting.

Global Tax Coordination

The OECD's Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) now has 50 jurisdictions committed to implementation by 2027. This standardization of crypto tax reporting will make corporate Bitcoin holdings more administratively manageable across borders.

Yield Generation Models

MARA's lending program points toward the future. Companies are exploring ways to make Bitcoin holdings productive rather than simply sitting on cold storage. DeFi integration, institutional lending, and Bitcoin-backed financing will likely expand.

Strategic Reserve Implications

If governments begin holding Bitcoin as strategic reserves—a possibility that seemed absurd five years ago but is now actively discussed—corporate treasuries will face new competitive dynamics. Corporate and sovereign demand for a fixed-supply asset creates interesting game theory.

The Bottom Line

The corporate Bitcoin treasury movement of 2025 represents something genuinely new in financial history: hundreds of public companies betting their balance sheets on a 16-year-old digital asset with no cash flows, no earnings, and no yield.

Some will look brilliant—companies that accumulated at 2024-2025 prices and held through inevitable volatility. Others will look like cautionary tales—companies that used Bitcoin as a Hail Mary for failing businesses or leveraged themselves into insolvency.

The 228 public companies now holding $148 billion in crypto treasuries have made their bets. The regulatory framework is clarifying. The accounting rules finally work. The question isn't whether corporate Bitcoin adoption will continue—it's which companies will survive the volatility to benefit from it.

For builders and investors watching this space, the lesson is nuanced: Bitcoin as a treasury asset works for companies with genuine operational strengths and disciplined capital allocation. It's not a substitute for business fundamentals. The premium era may indeed be over, but the infrastructure era for corporate crypto has just begun.


This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The author holds no positions in any companies mentioned.

The Corporate Bitcoin Treasury Surge: 191 Public Companies Now Hold BTC on Their Balance Sheets

· 7 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

In August 2020, a struggling business intelligence company made a $250 million bet that seemed reckless at the time. Today, that company—now rebranded simply as "Strategy"—holds 671,268 Bitcoin worth over $60 billion, and its playbook has spawned an entirely new corporate category: the Bitcoin Treasury Company.

The numbers tell a remarkable story: 191 public companies now hold Bitcoin in their treasury reserves. Businesses control 6.2% of total Bitcoin supply—1.3 million BTC—with $12.5 billion in new corporate inflows in 2025 alone, surpassing all of 2024. What started as Michael Saylor's contrarian thesis has become a global corporate strategy replicated from Tokyo to São Paulo.

Hyperliquid's $844M Year: How One DEX Captured 73% of On-Chain Derivatives Trading

· 7 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

In 2025, while traditional finance debated whether crypto had staying power, one decentralized exchange quietly processed $2.95 trillion in trading volume and generated $844 million in revenue—more than many publicly traded financial companies. Hyperliquid didn't just compete with centralized exchanges; it redefined what's possible for on-chain derivatives trading.

The numbers are staggering: 73% market share at peak, 609,700 new users onboarded in a single year, and a $1 billion token buyback fund that's still growing. But behind the headlines lies a more nuanced story of architectural innovation, aggressive tokenomics, and a market that's shifting faster than most realize.

AI Native Assets: How Blockchain Is Solving the $18 Billion AI Ownership Crisis

· 10 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Who owns what an AI creates? The question that paralyzed copyright offices worldwide now has a $18 billion answer emerging from the blockchain. As AI-generated NFTs surge toward contributing over $18 billion to the global NFT market by end of 2025, a new category of protocols is turning artificial intelligence outputs—prompts, training data, model weights, and generated content—into verifiable, tradeable, ownable assets. Welcome to the era of AI Native Assets.

The convergence isn't theoretical. LazAI just launched its Alpha Mainnet, tokenizing every AI interaction into Data Anchoring Tokens. Story Protocol's mainnet went live with $140 million in funding and 1.85 million IP transfers. AI agent tokens have surpassed $7.7 billion in market capitalization. The infrastructure for AI ownership on-chain is being built now—and it's transforming how we think about both artificial intelligence and digital property.


The Ownership Vacuum: Why AI Needs Blockchain

Generative AI has created an unprecedented intellectual property crisis. When ChatGPT writes code, Midjourney creates art, or Claude drafts a business plan, who owns the output? The algorithm developers? The users providing prompts? The creators whose work trained the model?

Legal systems worldwide have struggled to answer. Most jurisdictions maintain skepticism about granting copyright to non-human works, leaving AI-generated content in a legal gray zone. This uncertainty isn't just academic—it's worth billions.

The problem breaks down into three layers:

  1. Training data ownership: AI models learn from existing works, raising questions about derivative rights and compensation for original creators

  2. Model ownership: Who controls the AI system itself—the developers, the companies deploying it, or the users fine-tuning it?

  3. Output ownership: When AI generates novel content, who has rights to commercialize, modify, or restrict it?

Blockchain offers a solution not through legal fiat but through technological enforcement. Instead of arguing about who should own AI outputs, these protocols create systems where ownership is programmatically defined, automatically enforced, and transparently tracked.


LazAI: Tokenizing Every AI Interaction

LazAI represents the most ambitious attempt to create comprehensive AI data ownership. Launched in late December 2025 as part of the Metis ecosystem, LazAI's Alpha Mainnet introduces a radical proposition: every interaction with AI becomes a permanent, ownable asset.

Data Anchoring Tokens (DATs)

The core innovation is the Data Anchoring Token (DAT) standard. When users interact with LazAI's AI agents—like Lazbubu or SoulTarot—each prompt, inference, and output generates a traceable DAT. These aren't simple receipts; they're on-chain assets that:

  • Establish provenance for AI-generated content
  • Create ownership records for training data contributions
  • Enable compensation for data providers
  • Make AI outputs tradeable and licensable

"LazAI was born as a decentralized AI layer where anyone can create, train, and own their own AI," the team states. "Every prompt, every inference, every output is tokenized."

The Metis Integration

LazAI doesn't operate in isolation. It's part of ReGenesis, an integrated ecosystem comprising:

ComponentFunction
AndromedaSettlement layer
HyperionAI-optimized compute
LazAIAgent execution and data tokenization
ZKMZero-knowledge proof verification
GOATBitcoin liquidity integration

The $METIS token serves as native gas for LazAI, powering inference, compute, and agent execution. This alignment means no new token inflation—just integration with established Metis economics.

Developer Incentives

To bootstrap the ecosystem, LazAI launched a Developer Incentive Program with 10,000 METIS distributed across:

  • Ignition Grants: Up to 20 METIS per early-stage project
  • Builder Grants: Up to 1,000,000 free transactions for established projects with 50+ daily active users

The 2026 roadmap includes ZK-based privacy, decentralized computing markets, and multimodal data evaluation—converging toward a cross-chain AI asset network where digital agents, avatars, and datasets are all on-chain and tradeable.


Story Protocol: Programmable Intellectual Property

While LazAI focuses on AI interactions, Story Protocol tackles the broader intellectual property challenge. Launched on mainnet in February 2025, Story has rapidly become the leading purpose-built blockchain for IP tokenization.

The Numbers

Story's traction is substantial:

  • $140 million total funding ($80M Series B led by a16z)
  • 1.85 million IP transfers on-chain
  • 200,000 monthly active users (as of August 2025)
  • 58.4% of token supply allocated to community

Proof-of-Creativity Protocol

At Story's core is the Proof-of-Creativity (PoC) Protocol—smart contracts that enable creators to register intellectual property as on-chain assets. When you register an asset on Story, it's minted as an NFT that encapsulates:

  • Proof of ownership
  • Licensing terms
  • Royalty structures
  • Metadata about the work (including AI model configuration, dataset, and prompts for AI-generated content)

The Programmable IP License (PIL)

The critical bridge between blockchain and legal reality is the Programmable IP License (PIL). This legal contract establishes real-world terms while the Story protocol automatically enforces and executes those terms on-chain.

This matters for AI because it solves the derivative works problem. When an AI model trains on registered IP, the PIL can automatically track usage and trigger compensation. When AI generates derivative content, the on-chain record maintains the chain of attribution.

AI Agent Integration

Story isn't just for human creators. With Agent TCP/IP, AI agents can autonomously trade, license, and monetize intellectual property in real time. The partnership with Stability AI integrates advanced AI models to track contributions throughout the IP development lifecycle, ensuring fair compensation for all IP owners involved in monetized outputs.

Recent developments include:

  • Confidential Data Rails (CDR): Cryptographic protocol for encrypted data transfer and programmable access control (November 2025)
  • EDUM migration: Korean AI education platform converting learning data into verifiable IP assets (November 2025)

The Rise of AI Agents as Asset Holders

Perhaps the most radical development is AI agents that don't just create assets—they own them. The market capitalization of AI agent tokens has surpassed $7.7 billion, with daily trading volumes approaching $1.7 billion.

Autonomous Ownership

For AI agents to be truly autonomous, they need resource access and asset self-custody. Blockchain provides the ideal substrate:

  • AI agents can hold and trade assets
  • They can pay other agents for valuable information
  • They can prove reliability via on-chain records
  • All without human micromanagement

The ai16z project exemplifies this trend—the first DAO led by an autonomous AI agent named after (and inspired by) venture capitalist Marc Andreessen. The agent makes investment decisions, manages a treasury, and interacts with other agents and humans through on-chain governance.

The Agent-to-Agent Economy

Decentralized infrastructure enables early forms of agent-to-agent interaction that closed systems can't match. On-chain agents are already:

  • Purchasing predictions and data from other agents
  • Accessing services and making payments autonomously
  • Subscribing to other agents without human involvement

This creates an ecosystem where the best-performing agents rise in reputation and attract more business—effectively decentralizing hedge funds and other financial services into code-based entities.

Notable Projects in the Space

ProjectFocusKey Feature
Fetch.aiAutonomous Economic AgentsPart of Artificial Superintelligence Alliance
SingularityNETDecentralized AI ServicesMerged into ASI Alliance
Ocean ProtocolData MarketplaceData tokenization and trading
Virtuals ProtocolAI Agent EntertainmentVirtual character ownership

The $49 Billion NFT Context

AI native assets exist within a broader NFT ecosystem that surged to $49 billion in 2025, up from $36 billion in 2024. AI is transforming this market from multiple angles.

AI-Generated NFTs

AI-generated NFTs are expected to contribute over $18 billion to global NFT marketplaces by end of 2025, accounting for nearly 30% of new digital collections. These aren't static images—they're dynamic, evolving assets that:

  • Change based on user interactions
  • Learn from their environment
  • Respond in real-time
  • Generate new content autonomously

Regulatory Evolution

Platforms like OpenSea and Blur now require creators to disclose AI generation. Some platforms offer blockchain-based copyright verification, establishing authorship and preventing exploitation. Several countries have enacted comprehensive laws regarding AI artwork ownership, including royalty calculation frameworks.

Institutional Validation

Venture capital is fueling growth: 180 NFT-focused startups raised $4.2 billion in 2025 alone. Institutional moves like BTCS Inc.'s acquisition of Pudgy Penguins NFTs signal growing confidence in the category.


Challenges and Limitations

The AI native asset space faces significant hurdles.

While blockchain can enforce ownership programmatically, legal recognition varies by jurisdiction. A DAT or PIL provides clear on-chain ownership, but court enforcement remains untested in most countries.

Technical Complexity

The infrastructure remains nascent. Interoperability between AI asset protocols, scaling for real-time AI interactions, and privacy-preserving verification all require continued development.

Centralization Risks

Most AI models remain centralized. Even with on-chain ownership of outputs, the models generating those outputs typically run on corporate infrastructure. True decentralization of AI compute is still emerging.

Attribution Challenges

Determining what data influenced an AI output remains technically difficult. Protocols can track registered inputs, but proving negative (that unregistered data wasn't used) remains challenging.


What This Means for Builders

For developers and entrepreneurs, AI native assets represent a greenfield opportunity.

For AI Developers

  • Register model weights and training data on Story Protocol
  • Use LazAI's DAT standard for user interaction tokenization
  • Explore agent frameworks like Alith for decentralized data processing
  • Consider how AI outputs can generate ongoing value for data contributors

For Content Creators

  • Register existing IP on-chain before AI models train on it
  • Use PIL to establish clear licensing terms for AI usage
  • Monitor new AI asset protocols for compensation opportunities

For Investors

  • The $7.7 billion AI agent token market is nascent but growing
  • Story Protocol's $140 million funding and rapid adoption suggest category validation
  • Infrastructure plays (compute, verification, identity) may be undervalued

For Enterprises

  • Evaluate AI asset protocols for internal IP management
  • Consider how employee-AI interactions should be tracked and owned
  • Assess liability implications of AI-generated outputs

Conclusion: The Programmable IP Stack

AI native assets aren't just solving today's ownership crisis—they're building infrastructure for a future where AI agents are economic actors in their own right. The convergence of several trends makes this moment pivotal:

  1. Legal vacuum creates demand for technological solutions
  2. Blockchain maturity enables sophisticated asset management
  3. AI capabilities generate valuable outputs worth owning
  4. Token economics align incentives across creators, users, and developers

LazAI's Data Anchoring Tokens, Story Protocol's Programmable IP License, and autonomous AI agents represent the first generation of this infrastructure. As these protocols mature through 2026—with ZK privacy, decentralized compute markets, and cross-chain interoperability—the $18 billion opportunity may prove conservative.

The question isn't whether AI outputs will become ownable assets. It's whether you'll be positioned to participate when they do.


References

China's Blockchain Legal Framework 2025: What's Allowed, Banned, and the Gray Areas for Builders

· 9 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

China presents the world's most paradoxical blockchain landscape: a nation that has banned cryptocurrency while simultaneously investing $54.5 billion annually in blockchain infrastructure, processed $2.38 trillion in digital yuan transactions, and deployed over 2,000 enterprise blockchain applications. For builders trying to navigate this environment, the difference between success and legal jeopardy often comes down to understanding precisely where the lines are drawn.

As of 2025, China's regulatory framework has crystallized into a distinctive model—one that aggressively suppresses decentralized crypto while actively promoting state-controlled blockchain infrastructure. This guide breaks down exactly what's permitted, what's prohibited, and where the gray areas create both opportunity and risk for Web3 developers and enterprises.


The Hard Bans: What's Absolutely Prohibited

In 2025, China reaffirmed and strengthened its comprehensive ban on cryptocurrency. There's no ambiguity here—the prohibitions are explicit and enforced.

Cryptocurrency Trading and Ownership

All cryptocurrency transactions, exchanges, and ICOs are banned. Financial institutions are prohibited from offering any crypto-related services. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) has made clear that this includes newer instruments like algorithmic stablecoins.

The crypto ban decree became effective from June 1, 2025, introducing:

  • Suspension of all crypto transactions
  • Asset seizure measures for violators
  • Enhanced enforcement mechanisms
  • Significant financial penalties

Stablecoins Under the Ban

In November 2025, the PBoC explicitly clarified that stablecoins—once perceived as a potential gray area—are equally forbidden. This closed a loophole that some had hoped might allow compliant stablecoin operations within mainland China.

Mining Operations

Cryptocurrency mining remains completely prohibited. China's 2021 mining ban has been consistently enforced, with operations forced either underground or offshore.

Foreign Platform Access

Platforms like Binance, Coinbase, and other international exchanges are prohibited in mainland China. While some users attempt to access these via VPNs, doing so is illegal and can result in fines and further legal consequences.

Banking and Financial Services

New 2025 regulations require banks to actively monitor and report suspicious crypto transactions. When risky crypto activity is identified, banks must:

  • Uncover the user's identity
  • Assess past financial behaviors
  • Implement financial restrictions on the account

What's Explicitly Permitted: Enterprise Blockchain and the Digital Yuan

China's approach isn't anti-blockchain—it's anti-decentralization. The government has made massive investments in controlled blockchain infrastructure.

Enterprise and Private Blockchain

Enterprise blockchain applications are explicitly permitted within the CAC (Cyberspace Administration of China) filing regime and cybersecurity laws. Private chains see more deployment than public chains in both public and private sectors because they allow centralized management of business operations and risk control.

Permitted use cases include:

  • Supply chain management and provenance tracking
  • Healthcare data management
  • Identity verification systems
  • Logistics and trade finance
  • Judicial evidence storage and authentication

The Chinese government has invested heavily in private and consortium blockchain applications across the public sector. Judicial blockchain systems in Beijing, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, and other cities now support digital evidence storage, contract execution automation, and smart court management.

The Blockchain Service Network (BSN)

China's Blockchain Service Network represents the country's most ambitious blockchain initiative. Established in 2018 and launched in 2020 by the State Information Center under the National Development and Reform Commission, China Mobile, China UnionPay, and other partners, BSN has become one of the world's largest enterprise blockchain ecosystems.

Key BSN statistics:

  • Over 2,000 blockchain applications deployed across enterprises and government organizations
  • Nodes established in 20+ countries
  • Resource costs reduced 20-33% compared to conventional blockchain cloud services
  • Interoperability across different blockchain frameworks

In 2025, Chinese officials announced a roadmap for national blockchain infrastructure targeting approximately 400 billion yuan ($54.5 billion) in annual investments over the next five years. BSN sits at the center of this strategy, providing the backbone for smart cities, trade ecosystems, and digital identity systems.

The Digital Yuan (e-CNY)

China's central bank digital currency represents the permitted alternative to private cryptocurrency. The numbers are substantial:

2025 Statistics:

  • $2.38 trillion in cumulative transaction value (16.7 trillion yuan)
  • 3.48 billion transactions processed
  • 225 million+ personal digital wallets
  • Pilot program covering 17 provinces

The digital yuan's evolution continues. Starting January 1, 2026, commercial banks will begin paying interest on digital yuan holdings—marking a transition from "digital cash" to "digital deposit currency."

However, adoption challenges persist. The e-CNY faces stiff competition from entrenched mobile payment platforms like WeChat Pay and Alipay, which dominate China's cashless transaction landscape.


The Gray Areas: Where Opportunity Meets Risk

Between the clear prohibitions and explicit permissions lies significant gray territory—areas where regulations remain ambiguous or enforcement is inconsistent.

Digital Collectibles (NFTs with Chinese Characteristics)

NFTs exist in a regulatory gray area in China. They're not banned, but they can't be bought with crypto and can't be used as speculative investments. The solution has been "digital collectibles"—a uniquely Chinese NFT model.

Key differences from global NFTs:

  • Labeled as "digital collectibles," never "tokens"
  • Operated on private blockchains, not public chains
  • No secondary trading or resale permitted
  • Real-identity verification required
  • Payment in yuan only, never cryptocurrency

Despite official restrictions, the digital collectibles market has exploded. By early July 2022, approximately 700 digital collectibles platforms operated in China—up from around 100 just five months earlier.

For brands and enterprises, the guardrails are:

  1. Use legally registered Chinese NFT platforms
  2. Describe items as "digital collectibles," never "tokens" or "currency"
  3. Never allow or encourage trading or speculation
  4. Never imply value appreciation
  5. Comply with real-identity verification requirements

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has indicated that digital collectibles represent a business model to be encouraged "in line with the country's conditions"—though comprehensive regulations haven't yet been released.

Underground and VPN-Based Activity

A vibrant underground market exists. Collectors and enthusiasts trade through peer-to-peer networks, private forums, and encrypted messaging apps. Some Chinese users employ VPNs and pseudonymous wallets to participate in global NFT and crypto markets.

This activity operates in a legal gray area. Participants take on significant risk, including potential detection through enhanced banking surveillance and the possibility of financial restrictions or penalties.

Hong Kong as a Regulatory Arbitrage Opportunity

Hong Kong's Special Administrative Region status creates a unique opportunity. While mainland China prohibits crypto, Hong Kong has established a regulated framework through the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) and Securities and Futures Commission (SFC).

In August 2025, Hong Kong implemented the Stablecoin Ordinance, establishing a licensing regime for stablecoin issuers. This creates interesting possibilities for enterprises that can structure operations to leverage Hong Kong's more permissive environment while maintaining compliant operations in the mainland.


Filing Requirements and Compliance

For enterprises operating permissible blockchain applications in China, compliance requires understanding the registration framework.

CAC Filing Requirements

The Blockchain Provisions require service providers to file a recordal with the Cyberspace Administration of China within ten working days from the commencement of blockchain services. Importantly, this is a filing requirement, not a permit requirement—blockchain services don't require special operating permits from regulators.

What Must Be Filed

Blockchain service providers must register:

  • Basic company information
  • Service description and scope
  • Technical architecture details
  • Data handling procedures
  • Security measures

Ongoing Compliance

Beyond initial filing, enterprises must maintain:

  • Compliance with cybersecurity laws
  • User real-identity verification
  • Transaction record keeping
  • Cooperation with regulatory inquiries

Potential Policy Evolution

While 2025 has seen enforcement strengthen rather than relax, some signals suggest future policy evolution is possible.

In July 2025, the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission indicated that the rapid evolution of digital assets could result in softening of China's strict position on crypto. This is notable as an official acknowledgment that the current framework may need adjustment.

However, any policy changes would likely maintain the fundamental distinction between:

  • Prohibited: Decentralized, permissionless cryptocurrency
  • Permitted: State-controlled or enterprise blockchain with proper oversight

Strategic Recommendations for Builders

For developers and enterprises looking to operate in China's blockchain ecosystem, here are the key strategic considerations:

Do:

  • Focus on enterprise blockchain applications with clear business utility
  • Use BSN infrastructure for cost-effective, compliant deployment
  • Structure digital collectibles projects within established guidelines
  • Maintain comprehensive compliance documentation
  • Consider Hong Kong structures for crypto-adjacent activities

Don't:

  • Attempt cryptocurrency trading or exchange operations
  • Issue tokens or facilitate token trading
  • Build on public, permissionless blockchains for mainland users
  • Encourage speculation or secondary trading in digital assets
  • Assume gray areas will remain unenforced

Consider:

  • The regulatory arbitrage opportunity between mainland China and Hong Kong
  • BSN's international expansion for projects targeting multiple markets
  • Digital yuan integration for payment-related applications
  • Joint ventures with established Chinese blockchain enterprises

Conclusion: Navigating Controlled Innovation

China's blockchain landscape represents a unique experiment: aggressive promotion of controlled blockchain infrastructure alongside complete suppression of decentralized alternatives. For builders, this creates a challenging but navigable environment.

The key is understanding that China isn't anti-blockchain—it's anti-decentralization. Enterprise applications, digital yuan integration, and compliant digital collectibles represent legitimate opportunities. Public chains, cryptocurrency, and DeFi remain firmly off-limits.

With $54.5 billion in planned annual blockchain investment and 2,000+ enterprise applications already deployed, China's controlled blockchain ecosystem will remain a significant global force. Success requires accepting the framework's constraints while maximizing the substantial opportunities it does permit.

The builders who thrive will be those who master the distinction between what China bans and what it actively encourages—and who structure their projects accordingly.


References

Hong Kong vs Mainland China: A Tale of Two Crypto Policies Under One Country

· 9 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Fifty kilometers apart, two regulatory systems govern crypto with such stark opposition that they might as well exist in different universes. Mainland China bans all cryptocurrency trading, mining, and as of November 2025, even stablecoins—while Hong Kong actively courts the industry with an expanding licensing framework, spot ETFs, and ambitions to become Asia's preeminent digital asset hub. The "One Country, Two Systems" principle has never been more dramatically illustrated than in how these jurisdictions approach Web3.

For builders, investors, and institutions navigating the Greater China market, understanding this regulatory divergence isn't just academic—it's existential. The difference between operating 50 kilometers north or south of the border can mean the difference between building a licensed, regulated business and facing criminal prosecution.


The Mainland Position: Total Prohibition Reinforced

China's stance on cryptocurrency has hardened into one of the world's most comprehensive bans. What began as restrictions in 2013 has evolved into blanket prohibition covering virtually every aspect of the crypto ecosystem.

The 2025 Crackdown Intensifies

On November 28, 2025, Chinese financial and judicial authorities convened to reinforce their position: all crypto-related business activities are illegal in mainland China. The enforcement decree, effective June 1, 2025, established clear penalties including transaction suspension and asset seizure.

The most significant development was the explicit ban on stablecoins—including those pegged to major global or domestic fiat currencies. This closed what many considered the last gray area in Chinese crypto regulation.

Key prohibitions now include:

  • Mining, trading, and even holding crypto assets
  • Issuing, exchanging, or raising funds using tokens or stablecoins
  • RWA (Real-World Asset) tokenization activities
  • Domestic staff participation in offshore tokenization services

The enforcement framework is formidable. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) leads regulatory efforts, directing financial institutions to block crypto-related transactions. The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) polices the internet, shutting down websites, apps, and social media accounts promoting crypto. Technical infrastructure enabling tokenization faces active monitoring and disruption.

The Blockchain Exception

Yet China's policy isn't anti-blockchain—it's anti-crypto. Officials announced a roadmap for national blockchain infrastructure targeting 400 billion yuan ($54.5 billion) in annual investments over five years. The distinction is clear: permissioned, state-controlled blockchain good; permissionless, token-based systems bad.

The digital yuan (e-CNY) continues receiving state backing and active development, representing China's vision for controlled digital currency innovation. By separating blockchain infrastructure from tradeable tokens, China maintains technological competitiveness while preserving capital controls and monetary sovereignty.

Underground Reality

Despite comprehensive prohibition, enforcement faces practical limits. China is estimated to have approximately 59 million crypto users as of 2025, operating through P2P platforms and VPN-based wallet access. The gap between policy and reality creates ongoing challenges for regulators and opportunities—albeit illegal ones—for determined participants.


Hong Kong's Contrasting Vision: Regulated Embrace

While the mainland prohibits, Hong Kong regulates. The Special Administrative Region has constructed an increasingly sophisticated framework designed to attract legitimate crypto businesses while maintaining robust investor protections.

The VASP Licensing Framework

Since June 2023, all Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs) serving Hong Kong investors must hold an SFC-issued license. The requirements are stringent:

RequirementDetails
Asset CustodyAt least 98% of client assets in cold storage
Fund SegregationComplete separation of client and company assets
KYC/AMLMandatory checks and suspicious transaction reporting
Travel RuleCompliance for transfers exceeding HKD 8,000
ManagementFit and proper personnel with cybersecurity safeguards

Licensed exchanges include HashKey Exchange, OSL Digital Securities, and HKVAX—platforms that can legally serve both retail and institutional investors.

The Stablecoin Ordinance

Effective August 1, 2025, Hong Kong introduced dedicated licensing for fiat-referenced stablecoin issuers. Requirements include:

  • Minimum paid-up share capital of HKD 25 million
  • Full reserve backing with high-quality, liquid assets
  • Regulatory approval from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority

This positions Hong Kong to host compliant stablecoin issuers at a time when mainland China has explicitly banned all stablecoin activities.

Spot ETF Success

Hong Kong made history on April 30, 2024, launching Asia's first spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Six virtual asset ETFs began trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, issued by Harvest Global Investments, HashKey Capital/Bosera Asset Management, and China Asset Management's Hong Kong unit.

By late December 2024, Hong Kong crypto ETF assets reached $467 million—modest compared to U.S. ETF assets exceeding $122 billion, but significant for the region. The spot Bitcoin ETFs accumulated 4,560 BTC ($444.6 million), while Ether funds held 16,280 ETH ($59.6 million).

In 2025, the expansion continued with Pando Finance launching the city's first Bitcoin ETF of the year and Hong Kong approving its first Solana ETF—a product category not yet available in the United States.

The ASPIRe Roadmap

The SFC's "ASPIRe" roadmap articulates Hong Kong's ambitions to become a global digital asset hub. On June 26, 2025, the Financial Services and Treasury Bureau (FSTB) issued its second policy statement advancing this strategic vision.

Key November 2025 developments included:

  • Expansion of products and services for licensed VATPs
  • Integration of order books with global affiliate platforms
  • Enabling shared global liquidity for Hong Kong exchanges

2026 Legislative Plans

Hong Kong plans to introduce legislative proposals for virtual asset dealers and custodians in 2026. The new licensing framework under the Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing Ordinance will create requirements modeled on existing Type 1 securities rules—meaning crypto dealers will follow the same strict standards as traditional finance.

Consultations on regulating virtual asset advisory and management services closed in January 2026, with implementation expected later in the year.


Side-by-Side Comparison

The regulatory contrast couldn't be sharper:

DimensionMainland ChinaHong Kong
Crypto TradingBanned (criminal penalties)Legal (licensed exchanges)
MiningBannedNot explicitly prohibited
StablecoinsExplicitly banned (Nov 2025)Regulated (HKMA licensing)
ICOs/Token IssuanceBannedRegulated case-by-case
Retail AccessProhibitedAllowed on licensed platforms
Spot ETFsNot availableApproved (BTC, ETH, SOL)
RWA TokenizationBannedUnder development
Regulatory ApproachProhibition + enforcementRegulation + innovation
CBDCe-CNY (state-controlled)HKD stablecoins (private)
Estimated Users~59 million (underground)Growing (licensed)

Strategic Implications

For Exchanges and Trading Platforms

Mainland operations are impossible. Hong Kong offers a legitimate path to serving Chinese-speaking markets, but strict licensing requirements demand significant investment. The passporting potential—reaching global liquidity through Hong Kong licenses—makes compliance economically attractive for serious operators.

For Stablecoin Issuers

The contrast creates clear routing: Hong Kong welcomes compliant issuers with substantial reserve requirements; mainland China criminalizes the entire category. For projects targeting Greater China, Hong Kong licensing is the only legitimate option.

For Institutional Investors

Hong Kong's ETF framework and expanding product offerings create regulated access points. The combination of spot ETFs, licensed custody, and traditional finance integration makes Hong Kong increasingly attractive for institutional allocation to digital assets.

For Web3 Builders

The arbitrage opportunity is geographic. Hong Kong permits innovation within regulatory bounds; mainland China permits blockchain innovation only without tokens. Projects requiring token economics must locate in Hong Kong; pure blockchain infrastructure may find mainland resources and market access valuable.

For the Industry

Hong Kong's regulatory development represents a proof-of-concept for comprehensive crypto regulation within the Chinese legal tradition. Success could influence other Asian jurisdictions and potentially—though this remains speculative—inform eventual mainland policy evolution.


The Equilibrium Question

How long can such divergent policies coexist? The "One Country, Two Systems" framework permits significant regulatory divergence, but mainland authorities have historically shown willingness to intervene when Hong Kong policies conflict with national interests.

Several factors suggest the current equilibrium may be stable:

Arguments for stability:

  • Hong Kong's role as international financial center requires regulatory compatibility with global markets
  • Digital asset regulation doesn't threaten core mainland concerns (territorial integrity, political control)
  • Hong Kong serves as a controlled experiment and potential release valve
  • Capital controls remain enforceable through mainland banking systems

Arguments for potential convergence:

  • Mainland enforcement increasingly targets offshore service providers with domestic staff
  • Success in Hong Kong could attract mainland capital through gray channels
  • Political pressure could align Hong Kong more closely with mainland positions

The November 2025 mainland statement extending enforcement to "domestic staff of offshore service providers" suggests authorities are aware of and actively countering regulatory arbitrage.


Conclusion: Navigating the Divide

The Hong Kong-Mainland divide offers a stark lesson in regulatory philosophy. Mainland China prioritizes capital controls, financial stability, and monetary sovereignty—choosing prohibition as the simplest enforcement mechanism. Hong Kong prioritizes international competitiveness and financial innovation—choosing regulation as the path to managed participation.

For market participants, the practical implications are clear:

  1. Mainland China: Zero legal tolerance for crypto activity. The 59 million estimated users operate entirely outside legal protection.

  2. Hong Kong: Expanding opportunities within a demanding regulatory framework. Licensed operations gain access to both local and global markets.

  3. The border matters: 50 kilometers creates entirely different legal realities. Corporate structuring, staff location, and operational jurisdiction require careful consideration.

As Hong Kong continues building its regulatory infrastructure through 2026 and beyond, it offers an increasingly compelling case study in how jurisdictions can embrace digital assets while maintaining robust investor protections. Whether this experiment influences broader regional or even mainland policy remains to be seen—but for now, the tale of two crypto policies continues to unfold just 50 kilometers apart.


References

Latin America's Stablecoin Revolution: How USDT and USDC Captured 90% of Regional Crypto Commerce

· 9 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

In July 2022, stablecoins represented about 60% of crypto transfer volume on Latin American exchanges. By July 2025, that figure had soared to over 90%. This isn't just adoption—it's a fundamental rewiring of how 650 million people interact with money.

Latin America has become ground zero for stablecoin utility. While Western markets debate whether stablecoins are securities or payment instruments, Latin Americans are using them to protect savings from 100%+ inflation, send remittances at 1% fees instead of 10%, and conduct cross-border business without the friction of traditional banking. The region received $415 billion in crypto value between July 2023 and June 2024—9.1% of global flows—with year-over-year growth of 42.5%.

This isn't speculation-driven adoption. It's survival-driven innovation.

The Numbers Behind the Revolution

The scale of Latin America's stablecoin adoption is staggering when you look at the data.

Brazil dominates the region with $318.8 billion in crypto value received, accounting for nearly one-third of all LATAM crypto activity. Over 90% of Brazilian crypto flows are now stablecoin-related. The country's crypto transaction volumes rose 43% in 2025, with average investment per user surpassing $1,000.

Argentina ranks second with $93.9 billion in transaction volume. Stablecoins account for 61.8% of transaction volume—well above the global average. On Bitso, Argentina's leading exchange, USDT and USDC together represent 72% of all cryptocurrency purchases. As the country enters 2026, 20% of its population now uses crypto.

Mexico recorded $71.2 billion in crypto transaction volume. The country is projected to reach 27.1 million cryptocurrency users by 2025, representing a penetration rate exceeding 20% of the population. Bitso alone processed $6.5 billion in U.S.-Mexico crypto remittances in 2024—roughly 10% of the entire corridor.

The regional crypto market is projected to grow from $162 billion in 2024 to over $442 billion by 2033. This isn't fringe adoption anymore.

Why Stablecoins Won Latin America

Three forces converged to make stablecoins indispensable across the region: inflation, remittances, and capital controls.

The Inflation Hedge

Argentina's story is the most dramatic. In 2023, inflation hit 161%. By 2024, it reached 219.89%. While President Milei's reforms have brought it down to 35.91% in 2025, Argentines had already discovered a workaround: digital dollars.

The peso's collapse pushed households toward USDT and USDC as direct substitutes for cash savings. Local platforms like Ripio, Lemon Cash, and Belo reported 40-50% surges in stablecoin-to-peso transactions following government-imposed currency controls. More than 100 businesses in Buenos Aires now accept stablecoins for payments through Binance Pay and Lemon Cash.

This isn't just savings protection—it's de facto digital dollarization. The province of Mendoza even accepts tax payments in stablecoins. While Argentina's government debates launching a CBDC, its citizens have already adopted the digital dollar via USDT and USDC.

The Remittance Revolution

Mexico offers a different angle. Traditional remittance and cross-border bank fees to Mexico can range from 5% to 10%, with settlement times of several days. Stablecoin-based transactions have reduced these costs to under 1%, with funds settling in minutes.

Bitso processed $43 billion in cross-border remittances between the U.S. and Mexico in 2024. This isn't a pilot program—it's mainstream infrastructure. In crypto rails are now part of Mexico's remittance ecosystem alongside traditional providers.

The efficiency gains are transforming business payments too. Brazilian companies use crypto to avoid high bank fees for payments to suppliers in Asia. Mexican SMEs are discovering that global stablecoin accounts can cut cross-border transaction costs dramatically.

The Currency Volatility Shield

Beyond inflation, currency volatility drives stablecoin demand across the region. Businesses operating cross-border need predictable values. When local currencies swing 5-10% in weeks, dollar-pegged stablecoins become essential for financial planning.

The trifecta of persistent inflation, currency volatility, and restrictive capital controls across several countries continues to drive demand for stablecoins as a safe store of value and hedge against local macroeconomic risk.

Local Stablecoins: Beyond the Dollar

While USDT and USDC dominate, local currency stablecoins are emerging as a significant trend.

In Brazil, trading volume for BRL-pegged coins reached $906 million in the first half of 2025—approaching 2024's entire annual total. The BRL1 stablecoin, launched by a consortium including Mercado Bitcoin, Foxbit, and Bitso, is fully backed 1:1 by BRL reserves. The volumes of BRL-linked stablecoins grew from $20.9 million in 2021 to around $900 million in July 2025.

Mexico's peso-linked stablecoins have grown more than tenfold in the past year. The MXNB and MXNe tokens reached $34 million in July 2025, up from less than $55,000 just one year prior. These tokens are expanding use beyond remittances into local payments.

This dual-track system—dollar stablecoins for savings and cross-border transfers, local stablecoins for domestic commerce—represents a maturing market that serves multiple use cases simultaneously.

The Regulatory Landscape: From Chaos to Clarity

2025 marked a turning point for Latin American crypto regulation. The region shifted from reactive, AML-only oversight toward more structured frameworks that reflect actual adoption patterns.

Brazil: Full Framework Goes Live

Brazil's regulatory regime for Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs) finally went live in November 2025. The Central Bank of Brazil (BCB), designated as lead supervisor in 2023, published three resolutions operationalizing its regulatory powers.

Key provisions include:

  • Enhanced reporting obligations for transactions exceeding $100,000
  • Foreign exchange and payments oversight for stablecoin transactions
  • A new tax regime: all crypto capital gains are now taxed at a flat 17.5%, replacing the previous progressive model that exempted small traders

Brazil also introduced DeCripto, replacing existing crypto reporting rules. Based on the OECD's Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF), DeCripto aligns Brazil with international standards adopted by 60+ countries.

Argentina: Innovation-Friendly Registration

Argentina raised requirements under its VASP registration regime in 2025. General Resolution 1058, effective May 2025, introduced requirements for AML compliance, segregation of customer assets, cybersecurity, audit, and corporate governance.

More significantly, General Resolutions 1069 and 1081 introduced a formal legal framework for tokenized assets, to be piloted in a regulatory sandbox. Crypto capital gains are taxed up to 15%, with additional income tax on business and mining activities.

Mexico: Cautious Distance

Mexico's approach remains more conservative. Under the 2018 Fintech Law, crypto is classified as a virtual asset. Banks and fintechs need licenses for crypto services, though non-bank VASPs can operate by reporting to financial intelligence and tax authorities.

The Bank of Mexico has maintained what it calls "a healthy distance" from crypto, warning that "stablecoins pose significant potential risks to financial stability." The central bank cites heavy reliance on short-term U.S. Treasuries, market concentration (two issuers control 86% of supply), and past depegging episodes.

Despite regulatory caution, Mexico hosted Latin America's first large-scale stablecoin conference in 2025—a sign that the industry is maturing regardless of official sentiment.

The Platforms Winning the Region

Several platforms have emerged as dominant forces in Latin American crypto:

Bitso has become the region's infrastructure backbone. It holds licenses in Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina, plus authorization in Gibraltar. Processing $6.5 billion in U.S.-Mexico remittances and facilitating the majority of exchange-based stablecoin trades across multiple countries, Bitso has proven that regulatory compliance and scale can coexist.

Binance leads retail app activity, capturing 34.2% of sessions in Argentina. Its Binance Pay product enables merchant adoption across urban centers.

Lemon Cash holds 30% of retail sessions in Argentina, focusing on the local market's specific needs around peso-stablecoin conversion.

New entrants like Chipi Pay are targeting the unbanked with self-custodial stablecoin wallets accessible via email—no bank account required.

Demographics: Gen Z Leads the Charge

Brazil's fastest-growing crypto cohort in 2025 was users under 24. Participation among that age group increased 56% from the previous year. Many young investors are opting for low-volatility assets like stablecoins rather than speculative tokens.

This generational shift suggests stablecoin adoption will accelerate as younger users enter their peak earning years. They've grown up with currency instability and see stablecoins not as crypto speculation but as practical financial tools.

What Comes Next

Several trends will shape Latin America's stablecoin future:

B2B adoption is accelerating. In Brazil, B2B stablecoin volumes hit $3 billion monthly, as businesses discover that crypto rails reduce FX risks in cross-border deals.

Regulatory frameworks will spread. With Brazil and Argentina establishing clear rules, pressure mounts on Colombia, Peru, and Uruguay to follow. The Coinchange 2025 LATAM Crypto Regulation Report notes that the region is "entering a new phase of crypto regulation—shifting from isolated initiatives to a coordinated effort."

Local stablecoins will multiply. The success of BRL1 and MXN-pegged tokens demonstrates demand for locally denominated digital assets. Expect more launches as the infrastructure matures.

CBDC competition may emerge. Several Latin American central banks are exploring digital currencies. How CBDCs interact with—or compete against—private stablecoins will define the next chapter.

The Bigger Picture

Latin America's stablecoin revolution reveals something important about how crypto adoption actually happens. It doesn't come from speculation or institutional mandates. It comes from utility—from people solving real problems with available tools.

When your savings lose 100% of their value annually, USDT isn't a speculative asset. It's a lifeline. When remittance fees eat 10% of your family's income, USDC isn't fintech innovation. It's basic financial fairness.

The region has become a proving ground for stablecoin utility at scale. With over $415 billion in annual crypto flows, regulatory frameworks taking shape, and 90% stablecoin dominance, Latin America demonstrates what happens when digital dollars meet genuine economic need.

The rest of the world is watching. And increasingly, it's copying.


This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before interacting with any cryptocurrency or stablecoin.

Why 96% of Brand NFT Projects Failed—And What the Survivors Did Differently

· 10 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Nike just quietly sold RTFKT in December 2025. Starbucks shut down Odyssey in March 2024. Porsche had to halt its 911 NFT mint after selling only 2,363 of 7,500 tokens. Meanwhile, Nike now faces a class-action lawsuit from NFT purchasers seeking over $5 million in damages.

These aren't fly-by-night crypto projects. These are some of the world's most sophisticated brands, with billions in marketing budgets and armies of consultants. And yet, according to recent data, 96% of NFT projects are now considered dead, with only 0.2% of 2024 drops generating any profit for their holders.

What went wrong? And more importantly, what did the handful of winners—like Pudgy Penguins now in Walmart stores or Lufthansa's loyalty-integrated NFTs—figure out that the giants missed?


The Carnage: How Bad Did It Get?

The numbers are staggering. Research from late 2024 reveals that 98% of NFTs launched that year failed to deliver profits, with 84% never exceeding their mint price. The average lifespan of an NFT project is now just 1.14 years—2.5 times shorter than traditional crypto projects.

The NFT market lost over $12 billion from its April 2022 peak. Daily sales volume has collapsed from billions during the 2021-2022 boom to around $4 million. Supply has completely overwhelmed demand, with an average of 3,635 new NFT collections created monthly.

For brands specifically, the pattern was consistent: hype-driven launches, initial sellouts, declining engagement, then quiet shutdowns. The graveyard includes:

  • Nike RTFKT: $1.5 billion in trading volume, now sold off and facing securities lawsuits
  • Starbucks Odyssey: 18 months of operation, $200,000 in sales, then shuttered
  • Porsche 911: Mint halted mid-sale after community backlash over "low effort" and "tone deaf" pricing

Even the projects that generated revenue often created more problems than they solved. Nike's RTFKT NFTs stopped displaying images correctly after the shutdown announcement, rendering the digital assets essentially worthless. The proposed class action argues these NFTs were unregistered securities sold without SEC approval.


Autopsy of a Failure: What Brands Got Wrong

1. Extraction Before Value Creation

The most consistent criticism across failed brand NFT projects was the perception of cash grabs. Dave Krugman, artist and founder of NFT creative agency Allships, captured the issue perfectly when analyzing Porsche's botched launch:

"When you begin your journey in this space by extracting millions of dollars from the community, you are setting impossibly high expectations, cutting out 99% of market participants and overvaluing your assets before you have proven you can back up their valuation."

Porsche minted at 0.911 ETH (roughly $1,420 at the time)—a price point that excluded most Web3 natives while offering nothing beyond aesthetic appeal. The community called it "tone deaf" and "low effort." Sales stalled. The mint was halted.

Compare this to successful Web3-native projects that started with free mints or low prices, building value through community engagement before monetization. The order of operations matters: community first, extraction later.

2. Complexity Without Compelling Utility

Starbucks Odyssey exemplified this failure mode. The program required users to navigate Web3 concepts, complete "journeys" for digital badges, and engage with blockchain infrastructure—all for rewards that didn't significantly outperform the existing Starbucks Rewards program.

As industry observers noted: "Most customers didn't want to 'go on a journey' for a collectible badge. They wanted $1 off their Frappuccino."

The Web3 layer added friction without adding proportional value. Users had to learn new concepts, navigate new interfaces, and trust new systems. The payoff? Badges and experiences that, while novel, couldn't compete with the simplicity of existing loyalty mechanics.

3. Treating NFTs as Products Instead of Relationships

Nike's approach with RTFKT showed how even sophisticated execution can fail when the underlying model is wrong. RTFKT was genuinely innovative—CloneX avatars with Takashi Murakami, Cryptokicks iRL smart sneakers with auto-lacing and customizable lights, over $1.5 billion in trading volume.

But ultimately, Nike treated RTFKT as a product line rather than a community relationship. When the NFT market cooled and new CEO Elliott Hill's "Win Now" strategy prioritized core athletic products, RTFKT became expendable. The shutdown announcement broke image links for existing NFTs, destroying holder value overnight.

The lesson: if your NFT strategy can be shut down by a quarterly earnings call, you've built a product, not a community. And products depreciate.

4. Timing the Hype Cycle Wrong

Starbucks launched Odyssey in December 2022, just as NFT valuations had already plummeted from their early-2022 peaks. By the time the program reached the public, the speculative energy that drove early NFT adoption had largely dissipated.

The brutal irony: brands spent 12-18 months planning and building their Web3 strategies, only to launch into a market that had fundamentally changed during their development cycles. Enterprise planning timelines don't match crypto market velocities.


The Survivors: What Winners Did Differently

Pudgy Penguins: Physical-Digital Integration Done Right

While most brand NFT projects collapsed, Pudgy Penguins—a Web3-native project—achieved what the giants couldn't: mainstream retail distribution.

Their strategy inverted the typical brand approach:

  1. Start digital, expand physical: Rather than forcing existing customers into Web3, they brought Web3 value to physical retail
  2. Accessible price points: Pudgy Toys in Walmart stores let anyone participate, not just crypto-natives
  3. Gaming integration: Pudgy World on zkSync Era created ongoing engagement beyond speculation
  4. Community ownership: Holders felt like co-owners, not customers

The result? Pudgy Penguins was one of the only NFT collections to see sales growth into 2025, while virtually everything else declined.

Lufthansa Uptrip: NFTs as Invisible Infrastructure

Lufthansa's approach represents perhaps the most sustainable model for brand NFTs: make the blockchain invisible.

Their Uptrip loyalty program uses NFTs as trading cards themed around aircraft and destinations. Complete collections, and you unlock airport lounge access and redeemable airline miles. The blockchain infrastructure enables the trading and collecting mechanics, but users don't need to understand or interact with it directly.

Key differences from failed approaches:

  • Real utility: Lounge access and miles have tangible, understood value
  • No upfront cost: Users earn cards through flying, not purchasing
  • Invisible complexity: The NFT layer enables features without requiring user education
  • Integration with existing behavior: Collecting enhances the flying experience rather than requiring new habits

Hugo Boss XP: Tokenized Loyalty Without the NFT Branding

Hugo Boss's May 2024 launch of "HUGO BOSS XP" demonstrated another survival strategy: use blockchain technology without calling it NFTs.

The program centers on their customer app as a tokenized loyalty experience. The blockchain enables features like transferable rewards and transparent point tracking, but the marketing never mentions NFTs, blockchain, or Web3. It's just a better loyalty program.

This approach sidesteps the baggage that NFT terminology now carries—associations with speculation, scams, and worthless JPEGs. The technology enables better user experiences; the branding focuses on those experiences rather than the underlying infrastructure.


The 2025-2026 Reality Check

The NFT market in 2025-2026 looks fundamentally different from the 2021-2022 boom:

Trading volumes are down, but transactions are up. NFT sales in H1 2025 totaled $2.82 billion—only a 4.6% decline from late 2024—but sales counts climbed nearly 80%. This signals fewer speculative flips but broader adoption by actual users.

Gaming dominates activity. According to DappRadar, gaming represented about 28% of all NFT activity in 2025. The successful use cases are interactive and ongoing, not static collectibles.

Consolidation is accelerating. Native Web3 projects like Bored Ape Yacht Club and Azuki are evolving into full ecosystems. BAYC launched ApeChain in October 2024; Azuki introduced AnimeCoin in early 2025. The survivors are becoming platforms, not just collections.

Brands are pivoting to invisible blockchain. The successful corporate approaches—Lufthansa, Hugo Boss—use blockchain as infrastructure rather than marketing. The technology enables features; the brand doesn't lead with Web3 positioning.


What Brands Entering Web3 Should Actually Do

For brands still considering Web3 strategies, the failed experiments of 2022-2024 offer clear lessons:

1. Build Community Before Monetization

The successful Web3 projects—both native and brand—invested years in community building before significant monetization. Rushing to revenue extraction destroys the trust that makes Web3 communities valuable.

2. Provide Real, Immediate Utility

Abstract "future utility" promises don't work. Users need tangible value today: access, discounts, experiences, or status that they can actually use. If your roadmap requires holding for 2-3 years before value materializes, you're asking too much.

3. Make Blockchain Invisible

Unless your target audience is crypto-native, don't lead with Web3 terminology. Use blockchain to enable better user experiences, but let users interact with those experiences directly. The technology should be infrastructure, not marketing.

4. Price for Participation, Not Extraction

High mint prices signal that you're optimizing for short-term revenue over long-term community. The projects that survived started accessible and grew value over time. Those that started expensive mostly just stayed expensive until they died.

5. Commit to Long-Term Operation

If a quarterly earnings miss can kill your Web3 project, you shouldn't launch it. The blockchain's core value proposition—permanent, verifiable ownership—requires operational permanence to be meaningful. Treat Web3 as infrastructure, not a campaign.


The Uncomfortable Truth

Perhaps the most important lesson from the brand NFT graveyard is this: most brands shouldn't have launched NFT projects at all.

The technology works for communities where digital ownership and trading create genuine value—gaming, creator economies, loyalty programs with transferable benefits. It doesn't work as a novelty marketing tactic or a way to monetize existing customer relationships through artificial scarcity.

Nike, Starbucks, and Porsche didn't fail because Web3 technology is flawed. They failed because they tried to use that technology for purposes it wasn't designed for, in ways that didn't respect the communities they were entering.

The survivors understood something simpler: technology should serve users, not extract from them. The blockchain enables new forms of value exchange—but only when the value exchange itself is genuine.


References