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The Great Crypto Consolidation: How $37 Billion in M&A Is Reshaping the Industry Into Full-Stack Financial Giants

· 8 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Crypto's Wild West era is officially over. In 2025, the industry witnessed $37 billion in mergers and acquisitions—a sevenfold surge from the year before—and 2026 is on track to blow past that record. But these aren't the acqui-hires of desperate startups or the fire sales of failed projects. This is something new: the deliberate construction of vertically integrated financial empires.

Wall Street's Crypto Invasion: BitGo's NYSE Debut, Ledger's $4B IPO, and Why Every Major Bank Now Wants In

· 8 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Wall Street's relationship with crypto just underwent a fundamental shift. In the span of 72 hours this week, BitGo became the first crypto IPO of 2026, Ledger announced plans for a $4 billion NYSE listing, UBS revealed crypto trading plans for wealthy clients, and Morgan Stanley confirmed E-Trade's crypto rollout is on track. The message is unmistakable: the institutions aren't coming—they've arrived.

The New Era of Airdrop Strategies: Navigating the 2026 Token Distribution Landscape

· 8 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Hyperliquid's Season 1 airdrop dropped $7 billion worth of HYPE tokens into 94,000 wallets last November. Now, with Polymarket valued at $9 billion, OpenSea launching SEA with 50% community allocation, and Base exploring a token that JPMorgan estimates could be worth $12-34 billion—the 2026 airdrop season might eclipse everything that came before. But there's a catch: the easy money era is definitively over.

The End of Spray-and-Pray Farming

The days of clicking buttons across hundreds of wallets and waking up rich are gone. Projects have evolved their defenses faster than farmers have evolved their tactics.

Polymarket has explicitly stated they will filter Sybil accounts. Running 20 wallets with identical small bets will likely disqualify all of them. The platform's $9 billion valuation comes from institutional interest via ICE (the NYSE's parent company)—they're not going to dilute token value by rewarding obvious farmers.

The MYX airdrop incident serves as a cautionary tale: nearly 100 newly created wallets claimed 9.8 million MYX tokens worth approximately $170 million. The backlash was swift. Now every major project employs AI-powered detection systems that analyze transaction histories, behavioral patterns, and wallet clustering to identify coordinated farming operations.

The winning strategy in 2026 isn't multiplication—it's depth. Focus on one or two wallets with genuine, varied activity over months. Six months of regular protocol usage consistently outweighs six days of intensive farming in allocation algorithms.

Polymarket: The $9 Billion Prediction Market Giant

When Intercontinental Exchange announced a $2 billion investment in Polymarket in October 2025, valuing the prediction market at $9 billion, it wasn't just a funding round—it was the "Big Bang" moment for decentralized prediction markets.

Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber confirmed on the Degenz Live podcast what farmers had been hoping for: "There will be a token, there will be an airdrop." The POLY token is expected to launch in 2026 following the platform's U.S. regulatory clearance through its $112 million acquisition of CFTC-registered QCX exchange.

The numbers suggest this could be historic. With 1.35 million active users and monthly volumes exceeding $5 billion, Polymarket has the user base for a massive distribution. Community data shows just 1.7% of wallets trade more than $50,000—meaning a broad, democratized airdrop is likely.

How to position:

  • Make genuine predictions across diverse market categories (politics, sports, crypto, entertainment)
  • Build trading history over time rather than dumping volume in short bursts
  • Provide liquidity to markets, not just take positions
  • Engage with the community—Polymarket has hinted at weighting social engagement

The platform's institutional backing means they'll be ruthless about filtering farmers. Authentic, sustained engagement is the only path forward.

OpenSea: The NFT Giant's Token Pivot

OpenSea's SEA token announcement marks a pivotal moment for the platform that defined the NFT boom. CEO Devin Finzer confirmed that 50% of the token supply will go to the community, with more than half of that available through an initial claim for existing users and "OGs" from prior rewards programs.

The token launches in Q1 2026—potentially as early as February. No KYC required for claims, which removes a major barrier for international users.

What makes this particularly interesting: OpenSea has evolved from an NFT marketplace into a multi-chain trading aggregator supporting 22 blockchains. Recent data shows over 90% of the platform's $2.6 billion trading volume now comes from token trading rather than NFTs.

Eligibility factors:

  • Historical NFT trading activity, especially 2021-2022 vintage
  • Participation in past rewards programs
  • Usage of the Seaport protocol
  • Multi-chain activity across supported networks
  • Staking participation (SEA will have staking utilities)

The token will feature a buyback mechanism with 50% of launch revenue dedicated to repurchases—a bullish tokenomic structure that could support long-term price stability.

Hyperliquid Season 2: Following the Largest Airdrop Ever

Hyperliquid's Season 1 set the bar impossibly high: 31% of total HYPE supply distributed to users, with the token rocketing from $3.20 at launch to nearly $35 within weeks, pushing the fully diluted market cap above $10 billion.

While Season 2 hasn't been officially announced, the community treats it as effectively live based on ongoing point emissions and the February 2025 HyperEVM launch. The platform has 38.888% of total supply allocated for future emissions and community rewards, with 428 million unclaimed HYPE tokens sitting in the rewards wallet.

Season 2 positioning strategy:

  • Trade perpetuals and spot markets—every trade earns points
  • Stake HYPE and delegate to validators
  • Link staking to your trading account for fee reductions
  • Participate in HyperEVM ecosystem: staking, liquidity provision, stablecoin minting, NFT drops
  • Maintain consistent activity rather than sporadic high-volume bursts

The key insight from Season 1: top allocations went to users who engaged across multiple platform features over extended periods. Pure trading volume wasn't enough; ecosystem breadth mattered.

Base: The First Public Company Token?

If Coinbase launches a Base token, it would make history as the first major publicly-traded company to issue an associated cryptocurrency. JPMorgan estimated the potential market cap between $12 billion and $34 billion—if the team allocates 20-25% to community rewards as other L2s have done, that translates to $2.4-8.5 billion in potential user rewards.

At BaseCamp in September 2025, creator Jesse Pollak announced the team was "beginning to explore" a native token. "I will be upfront with y'all, it's early," he cautioned, emphasizing that details remained unfinished but committing to open, community-involved design.

CEO Brian Armstrong reinforced this as a "philosophy update rather than confirming execution." Translation: they're seriously considering it but regulatory navigation remains delicate.

Base positioning:

  • Bridge assets to Base and maintain TVL
  • Use native Base dApps: DEXes, lending protocols, NFT platforms
  • Participate in the onchain economy (Jesse Pollak has emphasized trading as the key use case)
  • Build transaction history across diverse applications
  • Engage with community governance and builder programs

The Coinbase connection cuts both ways. The company's regulatory sophistication means any token will be carefully structured—but also that allocations might favor compliance-friendly activity over raw farming metrics.

Other Airdrops on the Radar

LayerZero V2: Already distributed a first ZRO round, preparing a second. Qualifying factors include authentic cross-chain bridging, fee generation, and interaction with LayerZero-powered protocols like Stargate and SushiSwap.

Monad: The EVM-compatible L1 promising 10,000 TPS raised $244 million from Paradigm and DragonFly. Testnet launched February 2025 with mainnet expected late 2025. Heavy VC backing typically correlates with substantial community allocations.

MetaMask: Despite serving tens of millions of users, MetaMask has no native token. The introduction of in-app swaps, staking, and reward systems fuels speculation about an eventual distribution to long-term wallet users.

The New Rules of Airdrop Farming

The 2026 landscape demands a fundamentally different approach from the Wild West days of 2021-2023.

Time-weighted activity is everything. Projects now weight allocations based on activity duration and consistency. Algorithms detect and penalize burst farming patterns. Start now, maintain steady engagement, and let time compound your positioning.

Quality over quantity. Three to five high-conviction protocols with deep engagement beats fifty shallow interactions. Projects share intelligence about farming behavior—getting flagged on one platform can affect your standing elsewhere.

Sybil detection is AI-powered and improving. Arbitrum flagged addresses transferring funds in clusters of 20+ wallets and addresses funded from common sources. LayerZero partnered with Nansen and introduced community bounty hunting for Sybil identification. Aptos's lack of anti-Sybil measures led to 40% of airdropped tokens hitting exchanges immediately from farming wallets—a mistake no major project will repeat.

Authentic behavior patterns matter. Varied transaction sizes, diverse protocol interactions, irregular timing, and genuine use cases all signal legitimacy. The goal is to look like a real user because you are one.

Capital efficiency is increasing. You don't need millions deployed. Consistent, authentic engagement with modest capital often outperforms large, mechanical operations. Polymarket's data showing only 1.7% of wallets trade above $50,000 suggests they're designing for the long tail of genuine users.

The Billion-Dollar Question

Will the 2026 airdrop season match the hype? The potential is staggering: Polymarket, OpenSea, Base, and Hyperliquid Season 2 alone could distribute over $15 billion in tokens if all launch as expected with typical community allocations.

But distribution models have evolved. Projects have learned from Aptos's immediate dump and Arbitrum's price volatility. Expect vesting schedules, staking requirements, and anti-farming measures that make quick flips increasingly difficult.

The winners in 2026 won't be professional farmers running bot networks—they'll be genuine users who happen to be strategically positioned. That's a meaningful distinction. It means participating in protocols you actually believe in, maintaining activity patterns that reflect real usage, and thinking in months rather than days.

The airdrop game has grown up. The question is whether you have too.


BlockEden.xyz provides high-availability RPC services across multiple blockchain networks, including many of the L1s and L2s mentioned in this article. If you're building applications that interact with Ethereum, Base, or other supported chains, explore our API marketplace for reliable infrastructure that scales with your needs.

The Trump Crypto Controversy: A Deep Dive into Political Finance and Regulatory Challenges

· 8 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

For every dollar in trading fees the Trump crypto creators raked in, investors lost $20. That's the damning ratio from a forensic analysis commissioned by The New York Times, revealing a financial asymmetry that has turned the $TRUMP meme coin into the most controversial crypto asset of the decade—and potentially the most significant threat to bipartisan crypto regulation in the United States.

The Official Trump token, launched on January 17, 2025, three days before his presidential inauguration, has become ground zero for a collision between cryptocurrency innovation, political power, and fundamental questions about conflicts of interest. With 813,294 wallets losing a combined $2 billion while Trump-affiliated entities collected over $300 million in fees, the coin has drawn comparisons to the "single worst conflict of interest in the modern history of the presidency."

The Rise and Fall of Presidential Crypto

The numbers tell a dramatic story of euphoria turned to ash. At its peak, less than two days after launch, TRUMP reached an all-time high of \73.43, giving the token a market cap exceeding $27 billion and valuing Trump's personal holdings at over $20 billion. Today, the token trades around $5.18—an 89% collapse that has devastated retail investors while the project's insiders remain largely untouched.

The mechanics reveal why. Of the 1 billion total TRUMP tokens created, only 200 million (20%) were released to the public. The remaining 800 million tokens are locked in vesting schedules controlled by Trump Organization affiliates CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC. This concentration means that approximately 40 wallets—mostly associated with Trump-related entities—control more than 90% of the combined supply of TRUMP and MELANIA coins, while retail investors hold less than 10%.

The vesting schedule creates recurring pressure points. In April 2025, a 40 million token unlock worth approximately $320 million hit the market—representing 20% of the circulating supply and 75% of the token's 24-hour trading volume. In January 2026, another 50 million tokens ($270 million at current prices) were scheduled for release. These unlocks typically correlate with 15-30% price declines, though market reactions have proven unpredictable.

The Ethics Firestorm

"The minute that Trump coin got launched, it went from 'crypto is bipartisan' to 'crypto equals Trump equals bad, equals corruption,'" warned Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson. His concern has proven prescient.

Norm Eisen, former White House ethics adviser under Obama, declared the meme coin launch "the single worst conflict of interest in the modern history of the presidency." Richard Painter, the top ethics lawyer for George W. Bush, called it "dangerous to have the people who are supposed to oversee regulating financial instruments investing in them at the same time."

The concerns extend beyond theoretical conflicts. In April 2025, the project announced that the top 220 holders would receive dinner with the president, with the top 25 earning VIP White House tours. The token jumped 50% on the news—a direct monetization of presidential access that critics argue violates the spirit, if not the letter, of anti-corruption laws.

The global and anonymous nature of cryptocurrency creates additional risks. Lawmakers have warned that foreign actors could purchase large amounts of TRUMPorTRUMP or MELANIA coins to gain influence with the administration, potentially violating the Constitution's emoluments clause prohibiting government officials from accepting payments from foreign entities without congressional approval.

On November 25, 2025, Representative Jamie Raskin released a House Judiciary Committee report finding that Trump's cryptocurrency policies were used to benefit Trump and his family, adding "billions of dollars to his net worth through cryptocurrency schemes entangled with foreign governments, corporate allies, and criminal actors."

The Legislative Response

Congress has attempted to address the conflict. Senator Reed and Senator Merkley introduced the End Crypto Corruption Act, which would ban the President, Vice President, Senior Executive Branch Officials, Members of Congress, and their immediate families from financially benefiting from issuing, endorsing, or sponsoring crypto assets.

Representative Sam Liccardo introduced the Modern Emoluments and Malfeasance Enforcement Act (MEME Act), targeting the same prohibitions. Senator Warren and Representative Auchincloss have opened investigations into "consumer ripoffs, foreign influence-peddling, and conflicts of interest."

Yet legislative momentum faces the reality of a crypto-friendly administration. As President Trump moves to loosen regulations and pledges to make the U.S. the "crypto capital of the world," enforcement pressure has eased. The regulatory environment remains fluid rather than clearly settled, with politically branded tokens sitting in a grey area that neither traditional securities law nor emerging crypto frameworks adequately address.

MELANIA: The Pattern Repeats

The First Lady's $MELANIA token, launched on January 20, 2025—Inauguration Day itself—has followed an even more devastating trajectory. The token has collapsed 99% from its peak, with creators now facing fraud accusations in court.

A proposed lawsuit accuses Benjamin Chow (cofounder of crypto exchange Meteora) and Hayden Davis (cofounder of Kelsier Labs) of conspiring to run pump-and-dump schemes on over a dozen meme coins, including $MELANIA. The complaint alleges they "weaponized fame" to defraud investors.

The parallel trajectories of the Trump family coins—one down 89%, the other down 99%—reveal a pattern where insider access to supply, timing of announcements, and control over vesting schedules create persistent information asymmetries that retail investors cannot overcome.

PolitiFi: Beyond Trump

The Trump meme coin phenomenon has spawned an entire category: PolitiFi (Political Finance). These tokens draw inspiration from political figures, events, and ideologies, combining "political satire and financial nihilism" into tradeable assets.

At its January 2025 peak, the PolitiFi sector reached a combined market cap exceeding $7.6 billion, with TRUMP alone accounting for \6.5 billion. By year-end 2025, the broader meme coin ecosystem had contracted 61% to $38 billion in market cap, with trading volume down 65% to $2.8 billion.

Beyond Trump and Melania, the PolitiFi landscape includes Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) tokens, satirical candidates like Doland Tremp (TREMP) and Kamala Horris (KAMA), and election-cycle speculation vehicles. These tokens function as "decentralized political action committees"—lightning rods for political sentiment that bypass traditional campaign finance structures.

The 2026 U.S. midterm elections are expected to reignite PolitiFi volatility. Analysts predict meme coins will "fuse with AI, prediction markets, and PolitiFi volatility" as the sector evolves. Political meme coins create "intense but short-lived trading opportunities" tied to real-world events—election cycles, legislative votes, presidential announcements.

The Regulatory Paradox

The Trump meme coin has created a paradox for crypto regulation. The same administration loosening crypto oversight has the most to gain from that loosening—a circular conflict that makes neutral policymaking virtually impossible.

Critics argue this could poison the well for broader crypto adoption. Hoskinson's warning that Trump's involvement has "politicized the regulatory debate" suggests that future Democratic administrations may take harder lines on crypto specifically because of the association with Trump-era conflicts.

The uncertainty cuts both ways. While enforcement pressure has eased under the current administration, increased scrutiny around disclosure, ethics, and foreign participation in Trump-linked projects could indirectly affect trading activity. By 2027, analysts warn, "the bigger risk may be that TRUMP makes crypto regulation messier, not easier."

What Retail Investors Should Understand

For retail participants, the TRUMP coin offers brutal lessons:

Supply concentration matters. When 80% of tokens are held by project insiders on vesting schedules, retail investors are playing against house odds. The asymmetric information—insiders know their unlock schedules and can time announcements accordingly—creates structural disadvantages.

Political tokens are event-driven. TRUMP moved hardest when there were "concrete hooks that tied token ownership to visibility, narrative, or momentum." The dinner announcement, the inauguration timing, the unlock surprises—these are manufactured catalysts that benefit those who create them.

Fame is not fundamentals. Unlike DeFi protocols with revenue, NFT projects with IP, or infrastructure tokens with network effects, meme coins derive value purely from attention. When attention fades—as it inevitably does—there's nothing underneath to support price.

The $20-to-$1 ratio. The forensic finding that investors lost $20 for every $1 in fees collected by creators isn't an anomaly—it's the business model. Meme coins, especially those with concentrated supply, are designed to transfer wealth from late entrants to early insiders.

The Bigger Picture

The Trump meme coin saga represents something larger than one controversial asset. It's a stress test for whether cryptocurrency can maintain credibility as it intersects with political power.

The original crypto ethos—decentralization, permissionless access, freedom from institutional gatekeepers—sits uneasily alongside a project where the President of the United States controls 80% of supply and can move markets with a dinner invitation. The tension between "crypto for the people" and "crypto for the powerful" has never been starker.

Whether this chapter ends with stronger disclosure requirements, political ethics reforms, or simply fades as another meme coin burns out remains uncertain. What's clear is that the TRUMP token has permanently altered how policymakers, investors, and the public view the intersection of cryptocurrency and power.

The question isn't whether politically branded tokens will continue—they will, especially around election cycles. The question is whether the crypto industry can build frameworks that distinguish legitimate innovation from conflicts of interest, and whether it has the will to try.


This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Meme coins are highly speculative assets with significant risk of total loss. Always conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

The $282 Million Phone Call: Inside 2026's Largest Social Engineering Crypto Heist

· 9 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

At 11:00 PM UTC on January 10, 2026, someone picked up the phone and lost a quarter-billion dollars. No smart contract was exploited. No exchange was hacked. No private keys were cracked by quantum computers. A single individual simply told a scammer their 24-word seed phrase—the master key to 1,459 Bitcoin and 2.05 million Litecoin—because they believed they were speaking with hardware wallet support.

The theft, totaling $282 million, now stands as the largest individual social engineering attack in cryptocurrency history, surpassing the previous record of $243 million set in August 2024. But what happened next reveals something equally disturbing about the crypto ecosystem: within hours, the stolen funds triggered a 30% price spike in Monero, exposed the controversial role of decentralized infrastructure in money laundering, and reignited the debate over whether "code is law" should mean "crime is allowed."

The Anatomy of a Quarter-Billion-Dollar Scam

The attack was devastatingly simple. According to blockchain investigator ZachXBT, who first publicly documented the theft, the victim received a call from someone claiming to represent "Trezor Value Wallet" support. Security firm ZeroShadow later confirmed the attacker's impersonation tactics, which followed a familiar playbook: create urgency, establish authority, and manipulate the target into revealing their seed phrase.

Hardware wallets like Trezor are specifically designed to keep private keys offline and immune to remote attacks. But they can't protect against the most vulnerable component in any security system: the human operator. The victim, believing they were verifying their wallet for a legitimate support request, handed over the 24 words that controlled their entire fortune.

Within minutes, 2.05 million Litecoin worth $153 million and 1,459 Bitcoin worth $139 million began moving through the blockchain.

The Laundering Operation: From Bitcoin to Untraceable

What followed was a masterclass in cryptocurrency obfuscation—executed in real-time while security researchers watched.

The attacker immediately turned to THORChain, a decentralized cross-chain liquidity protocol that enables swaps between different cryptocurrencies without centralized intermediaries. According to blockchain data documented by ZachXBT, 818 BTC (worth approximately $78 million) was swapped through THORChain into:

  • 19,631 ETH (approximately $64.5 million)
  • 3.15 million XRP (approximately $6.5 million)
  • 77,285 LTC (approximately $5.8 million)

But the most significant portion of the stolen funds went somewhere far less traceable: Monero.

The Monero Spike: When Stolen Funds Move Markets

Monero (XMR) is designed from the ground up to be untraceable. Unlike Bitcoin, where every transaction is publicly visible on the blockchain, Monero uses ring signatures, stealth addresses, and RingCT technology to obscure sender, receiver, and transaction amounts.

As the attacker converted massive quantities of Bitcoin and Litecoin into Monero through multiple instant exchanges, the sudden demand spike sent XMR from a low of $612.02 to a daily peak of $717.69—a jump of over 17%. Some reports indicated XMR briefly touched $800 on January 14.

The irony is bitter: the attacker's crime literally enriched every other Monero holder, at least temporarily. After the initial spike, XMR declined to $623.05, representing an 11.41% decline in 24 hours as the artificial demand subsided.

By the time security researchers had fully mapped the money flow, the majority of the stolen funds had vanished into Monero's privacy-preserving architecture—effectively making them unrecoverable.

ZeroShadow's Race Against the Clock

Security firm ZeroShadow detected the theft within minutes and immediately began working to freeze what they could. Their efforts managed to flag and freeze approximately $700,000 before it could be converted into privacy tokens.

That's 0.25% of the total stolen. The other 99.75% was gone.

ZeroShadow's rapid response highlights both the capabilities and limitations of blockchain security. The transparent nature of public blockchains means thefts are visible almost instantly—but that transparency means nothing once funds move into privacy coins. The window between detection and conversion to untraceable assets can be measured in minutes.

THORChain: Decentralization's Moral Hazard

The $282 million theft has reignited intense criticism of THORChain, the decentralized protocol that processed much of the laundering operation. This isn't the first time THORChain has faced scrutiny for facilitating the movement of stolen funds.

The Bybit Precedent

In February 2025, North Korean hackers known as the Lazarus Group stole $1.4 billion from the Bybit exchange—the largest crypto theft in history. Over the following 10 days, they laundered $1.2 billion through THORChain, converting stolen ETH to Bitcoin. The protocol recorded $4.66 billion in swaps in a single week, with an estimated 93% of ETH deposits during that period traceable to criminal activity.

THORChain's operators faced a choice: halt the network to prevent money laundering, or maintain decentralization principles regardless of the source of funds. They chose the latter.

Developer Exodus

The decision triggered internal conflict. A core developer known as "Pluto" resigned in February 2025, announcing they would "immediately stop contributing to THORChain" following the reversal of a vote to block Lazarus-linked transactions. Another validator, "TCB," revealed they were among three validators who voted to halt ETH trading but were overruled within minutes.

"The ethos about being decentralized are just ideas," TCB wrote upon departing the project.

The Financial Incentive Problem

Critics note that THORChain collected approximately $5 million in fees from Lazarus Group transactions alone—a significant windfall for a project that was already struggling with financial instability. In January 2026, the protocol had experienced a $200 million insolvency event that led to frozen withdrawals.

The $282 million theft adds another data point to THORChain's role in cryptocurrency laundering. Whether the protocol's decentralized architecture makes it legally or ethically distinct from a centralized money transmitter remains a contested question—and one that regulators are increasingly interested in answering.

The Bigger Picture: Social Engineering's Asymmetric Threat

The $282 million theft is not an outlier. It's the most dramatic example of a trend that dominated cryptocurrency security in 2025.

According to Chainalysis, social engineering scams and impersonation attacks grew 1,400% year-over-year in 2025. WhiteBit research found that social engineering scams accounted for 40.8% of all crypto security incidents in 2025, making them the leading threat category.

The numbers tell a sobering story:

  • $17 billion estimated total stolen through crypto scams and fraud in 2025
  • $4.04 billion drained from users and platforms through hacks and scams combined
  • 158,000 individual wallet compromise incidents affecting 80,000 unique victims
  • 41% of all crypto scams involved phishing and social engineering
  • 56% of cryptocurrency scams originated from social media platforms

AI-enabled scams proved 4.5 times more profitable than traditional methods, suggesting the threat will only intensify as voice cloning and deepfake technology improve.

Why Hardware Wallets Can't Save You from Yourself

The tragedy of the $282 million theft is that the victim was doing many things right. They used a hardware wallet—the gold standard for cryptocurrency security. Their private keys never touched an internet-connected device. They likely understood the importance of cold storage.

None of it mattered.

Hardware wallets are designed to protect against technical attacks: malware, remote intrusions, compromised computers. They are explicitly designed to require human interaction for all transactions. This is a feature, not a bug—but it means the human remains the attack surface.

No hardware wallet can prevent you from reading your seed phrase aloud to an attacker. No cold storage solution can protect against your own trust. The most sophisticated cryptographic security in the world is useless if you can be convinced to reveal your secrets.

Lessons from a Quarter-Billion-Dollar Mistake

Never Share Your Seed Phrase

This cannot be stated clearly enough: no legitimate company, support representative, or service will ever ask for your seed phrase. Not Trezor. Not Ledger. Not your exchange. Not your wallet provider. Not the blockchain developers. Not law enforcement. Not anyone.

Your seed phrase is equivalent to the master key to your entire fortune. Revealing it is equivalent to handing over everything. There are zero exceptions to this rule.

Be Skeptical of Inbound Contact

The attacker initiated contact with the victim, not the other way around. This is a critical red flag. Legitimate support interactions almost always start with you reaching out through official channels—not with someone calling or messaging you unsolicited.

If you receive contact claiming to be from a crypto service:

  • Hang up and call back through the official number on the company's website
  • Do not click links in unsolicited emails or messages
  • Verify the contact through multiple independent channels
  • When in doubt, do nothing until you've confirmed legitimacy

Understand What's Recoverable and What Isn't

Once cryptocurrency moves to Monero or is tumbled through privacy-preserving protocols, it is effectively unrecoverable. The $700,000 that ZeroShadow managed to freeze represents a best-case scenario for rapid response—and it was still less than 0.3% of the total.

Insurance, legal recourse, and blockchain forensics all have limits. Prevention is the only reliable protection.

Diversify Holdings

No single seed phrase should control $282 million in assets. Distributing funds across multiple wallets, multiple seed phrases, and multiple security approaches creates redundancy. If one fails, you don't lose everything.

The Uncomfortable Questions

The $282 million theft leaves the crypto ecosystem grappling with questions that have no easy answers:

Should decentralized protocols be responsible for preventing money laundering? THORChain's role in this theft—and in the $1.4 billion Bybit laundering—suggests that permissionless infrastructure can become a tool for criminals. But adding restrictions fundamentally changes what "decentralized" means.

Can privacy coins coexist with crime prevention? Monero's privacy features are legitimate and serve valid purposes. But those same features made $282 million effectively untraceable. The technology is neutral; the implications are not.

Is the industry prepared for AI-enhanced social engineering? If voice cloning and deepfake technology make impersonation attacks 4.5 times more profitable, what happens when they become 10 times more sophisticated?

The victim of January 10, 2026, learned the hardest possible lesson about cryptocurrency security. For everyone else, the lesson is available for the price of attention: in a world where billions can move in seconds, the weakest link is always human.


Building secure Web3 applications requires robust infrastructure. BlockEden.xyz provides enterprise-grade RPC nodes and APIs with built-in monitoring and anomaly detection, helping developers identify unusual activity before it impacts users. Explore our API marketplace to build on security-focused foundations.

The Great Crypto Extinction: How 11.6 Million Tokens Died in 2025 and What It Means for 2026

· 8 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

In just 365 days, more cryptocurrency projects collapsed than in the entire previous four years combined. According to CoinGecko's data, 11.6 million tokens failed in 2025 alone—representing 86.3% of all project failures since 2021. The fourth quarter was particularly brutal: 7.7 million tokens went dark, a pace of roughly 83,700 failures per day.

This wasn't a gradual decline. It was an extinction event. And it fundamentally reshapes how we should think about crypto investing, token launches, and the industry's future.

The Numbers Behind the Carnage

To understand the scale of 2025's collapse, consider the progression:

  • 2021: 2,584 token failures
  • 2022: 213,075 token failures
  • 2023: 245,049 token failures
  • 2024: 1,382,010 token failures
  • 2025: 11,564,909 token failures

The math is staggering. 2025 saw more than 8 times the failures of 2024, which itself was already a record-breaking year. Project failures between 2021 and 2023 made up just 3.4% of all cryptocurrency failures over the past five years—the remaining 96.6% occurred in the last two years alone.

As of December 31, 2025, 53.2% of all tokens tracked on GeckoTerminal since July 2021 are now inactive, representing roughly 13.4 million failures out of 25.2 million listed. More than half of every crypto project ever created no longer exists.

The October 10 Liquidation Cascade

The single most destructive event of 2025 occurred on October 10, when $19 billion in leveraged positions was wiped out in 24 hours—the largest single-day deleveraging in crypto history. Token failures immediately surged from roughly 15,000 to over 83,000 per day in the aftermath.

The cascade demonstrated how quickly systemic shocks can propagate through thinly traded assets. Tokens lacking deep liquidity or committed user bases were disproportionately affected, with meme coins suffering the worst losses. The event accelerated an ongoing sorting mechanism: tokens that lacked distribution, liquidity depth, or ongoing incentive alignment got filtered out.

Pump.fun and the Meme Coin Factory

At the center of the 2025 token collapse sits Pump.fun, the Solana-based launchpad that democratized—and arguably weaponized—token creation. By mid-2025, the platform had spawned more than 11 million tokens and captured roughly 70-80% of all new token launches on Solana.

The statistics are damning:

  • 98.6% of tokens launched on Pump.fun showed rug-pull behavior, according to Solidus Labs data
  • 98% of launched tokens collapsed within 24 hours, per federal lawsuit allegations
  • Only 1.13% of tokens (about 284 per day out of 24,000 launched) "graduate" to listing on Raydium, Solana's main DEX
  • 75% of all launched tokens show zero activity after just one day
  • 93% show no activity after seven days

Even the "successful" tokens tell a grim story. The graduation threshold requires a $69,000 market cap, but the average market cap of graduated tokens now stands at $29,500—a 57% decline from the minimum. Nearly 40% of tokens that do graduate achieve it in under 5 minutes, suggesting coordinated launches rather than organic growth.

Of all tokens launched on Pump.fun, exactly one—FARTCOIN—ranks in the top 200 cryptocurrencies. Only seven rank in the top 500.

The 85% Launch Failure Rate

Beyond Pump.fun, the broader 2025 token launch landscape was equally devastating. Data from Memento Research tracked 118 major token generation events (TGEs) in 2025 and found that 100 of them—84.7%—are trading below their opening fully diluted valuations. The median token in that cohort is down 71% from its launch price.

Gaming tokens fared even worse. More than 90% of gaming-related token generation events struggled to maintain value after launch, contributing to a wave of Web3 gaming studio closures including ChronoForge, Aether Games, Ember Sword, Metalcore, and Nyan Heroes.

Why Did So Many Tokens Fail?

1. Frictionless Creation Meets Limited Demand

Token creation has become trivially easy. Pump.fun allows anyone to launch a token within minutes with no technical knowledge required. But while supply exploded—from 428,383 projects in 2021 to nearly 20.2 million by the end of 2025—the market's capacity to absorb new projects hasn't kept pace.

The bottleneck isn't launching; it's sustaining liquidity and attention long enough for a token to matter.

2. Hype-Dependent Models

The memecoin boom was powered by social media momentum, influencer narratives, and rapid speculative rotations rather than fundamentals. When traders shifted focus or liquidity dried up, these attention-dependent tokens collapsed immediately.

3. Liquidity Wars

DWF Labs managing partner Andrei Grachev warned that the current environment is structurally hostile to new projects, describing ongoing "liquidity wars" across crypto markets. Retail capital is fragmenting across an ever-expanding universe of assets, leaving less for each individual token.

4. Structural Fragility

The October 10 cascade revealed how interconnected and fragile the system had become. Leveraged positions, thin order books, and cross-protocol dependencies meant that stress in one area rapidly propagated throughout the ecosystem.

What 2025's Collapse Means for 2026

Three scenarios for 2026 project token failures ranging from 3 million (optimistic) to 15 million (pessimistic), compared to 2025's 11.6 million. Several factors will determine which scenario materializes:

Signs of a Potential Improvement

  • Shift to fundamentals: Industry leaders report that "fundamentals started mattering more and more" in late 2025, with protocol revenue becoming a key metric rather than token speculation.
  • Account abstraction adoption: ERC-4337 smart accounts exceeded 40 million deployments across Ethereum and Layer 2 networks, with the standard enabling invisible blockchain experiences that could drive sustainable adoption.
  • Institutional infrastructure: Regulatory clarity and ETF expansions are expected to drive institutional inflows, potentially creating more stable demand.

Reasons for Continued Concern

  • Launchpad proliferation: Token creation remains frictionless, and new launch platforms continue to emerge.
  • Retail liquidity erosion: As millions of tokens vanish, retail confidence continues to erode, reducing available liquidity and raising the bar for future launches.
  • Concentrated attention: Market attention continues to concentrate around Bitcoin, blue-chip assets, and short-term speculative trades, leaving less room for new entrants.

Lessons from the Graveyard

For Investors

  1. Survival is scarce: With 98%+ failure rates on platforms like Pump.fun, the expected value of random meme coin investments is essentially zero. The 2025 data doesn't suggest caution—it suggests avoidance.

  2. Graduation means nothing: Even tokens that "succeed" by platform metrics typically decline 57%+ from their graduation market cap. Platform success is not market success.

  3. Liquidity depth matters: Tokens that survived 2025 generally had genuine liquidity, not just paper market caps. Before investing, assess how much you could actually sell without moving the price.

For Builders

  1. Launch is the easy part: 2025 proved that anyone can launch a token; almost no one can sustain one. Focus on the 364 days after launch, not day one.

  2. Distribution beats features: Tokens that survived had genuine holder bases, not just whale concentrations. The product doesn't matter if no one cares.

  3. Revenue sustainability: The industry is shifting toward revenue-generating protocols. Tokens without clear revenue paths face increasingly hostile market conditions.

For the Industry

  1. Curation is essential: With 20+ million projects listed and half already dead, discovery and curation mechanisms become critical infrastructure. The current system of raw listings is failing users.

  2. Launchpad responsibility: Platforms that enable frictionless token creation without any friction for rug pulls bear some responsibility for the 98% failure rate. The regulatory scrutiny Pump.fun faces suggests markets agree.

  3. Quality over quantity: The 2025 data suggests the market can't absorb infinite projects. Either issuance slows, or failure rates remain catastrophic.

The Bottom Line

2025 will be remembered as the year crypto learned that easy issuance and mass survival are incompatible. The 11.6 million tokens that failed weren't victims of a bear market—they were victims of structural oversupply, liquidity fragmentation, and hype-dependent business models.

For 2026, the lesson is clear: the era of launching tokens and hoping for moonshots is over. What remains is a more mature market where fundamentals, liquidity depth, and sustainable demand determine survival. The projects that understand this will build differently. The projects that don't will join the 53% of all crypto tokens that are already dead.


Building sustainable Web3 applications requires more than token launches—it requires reliable infrastructure. BlockEden.xyz provides enterprise-grade RPC nodes and APIs across multiple blockchains, helping developers build on foundations designed to last beyond the hype cycle. Explore our API marketplace to start building.

Stablecoin Power Rankings 2026: Inside the $318B Market Where Tether Prints $13B Profits and Coinbase Takes Half of USDC's Revenue

· 9 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Tether made $13 billion in profit last year. That's more than Goldman Sachs. And it did it with roughly 200 employees, no branches, and a product that's simply a digital dollar pegged to treasury yields.

Welcome to the stablecoin economy of 2026, where the two largest issuers control over 80% of a $318 billion market, transaction volumes have surpassed Visa and PayPal combined, and the real battle isn't about technology—it's about who captures the yield on hundreds of billions in reserves.

The Duopoly: USDT and USDC by the Numbers

The stablecoin market has exploded. Total supply jumped from $205 billion at the start of 2025 to over $318 billion in early 2026—a 55% surge in just twelve months. Transaction volumes hit $33 trillion in 2025, up 72% year-over-year.

But this growth hasn't democratized the market. If anything, it's entrenched the leaders.

Tether's Unstoppable Machine

Tether's USDT controls approximately 61% of the stablecoin market with a $187 billion market cap. Its dominance on centralized exchanges is even more pronounced—75% of all stablecoin trading volume flows through USDT.

The profit numbers are staggering:

  • 2024 full-year profit: $13 billion (up from $6.2B in 2023)
  • 2025 H1 profit: $5.7 billion
  • 2025 Q3 YTD profit: Exceeded $10 billion
  • U.S. Treasury holdings: $135 billion, making Tether one of the world's largest holders of U.S. government debt

Where does this money come from? Roughly $7 billion annually flows from Treasury and repo holdings alone. Another $5 billion came from unrealized gains on Bitcoin and gold positions. The remainder comes from other investments.

With group equity now exceeding $20 billion and a reserve buffer above $7 billion, Tether has evolved from a controversial crypto tool into a financial institution rivaling Wall Street giants.

Circle's Public Debut and the USDC Economics

Circle took a different path. In June 2025, the company went public on the NYSE at $31 per share, pricing above expectations. Shares exploded 168% on day one and have since climbed over 700% from the IPO price, giving Circle a market cap exceeding $63 billion.

USDC now holds a $78 billion market cap—about 25% of the stablecoin market. But here's what makes Circle's model fascinating: its economics are fundamentally different from Tether's.

Circle's 2025 financial trajectory:

  • Q1 2025: $578.6 million revenue
  • Q2 2025: $658 million revenue (+53% YoY)
  • Q3 2025: $740 million revenue (+66% YoY), $214 million net income

But there's a catch that explains why Circle's profits pale compared to Tether's despite managing similar-scale reserves.

The Coinbase Connection: Where Half the USDC Revenue Goes

The stablecoin business isn't just about issuing tokens and collecting yield. It's about distribution. And Circle pays dearly for it.

Under the revenue-sharing agreement with Coinbase, the exchange receives:

  • 100% of interest income from USDC held directly on Coinbase
  • 50% of residual revenue from USDC held off-platform

In practice, this means Coinbase captured approximately 56% of all USDC reserve revenue in 2024. For Q1 2025 alone, Coinbase earned roughly $300 million in distribution payments from Circle.

JPMorgan's analysis breaks it down:

  • On-platform: ~$13 billion USDC generates $125 million quarterly at 20-25% margins
  • Off-platform: 50/50 split yields $170 million quarterly at near 100% margin

By year-end 2025, total USDC reserve income was projected to reach $2.44 billion—with $1.5 billion going to Coinbase and only $940 million to Circle.

This arrangement explains a paradox: Circle's stock trades at 37x revenue and 401x earnings because investors are betting on USDC growth, but the company that actually captures most of the economics is Coinbase. It also explains why USDC, despite being the more regulated and transparent stablecoin, generates far less profit per dollar in circulation than USDT.

The Challengers: Cracks in the Duopoly

For years, the USDT-USDC duopoly seemed unassailable. At the start of 2025, they controlled 88% of the market combined. By October, that figure had dropped to 82%.

A 6-percentage-point decline might seem modest, but it represents over $50 billion in market cap captured by alternatives. And several challengers are gaining momentum.

USD1: The Trump-Backed Wildcard

The most controversial entrant is USD1 from World Liberty Financial, a company with deep Trump family ties (60% reportedly owned by a Trump business entity).

Launched in April 2025, USD1 has grown to nearly $3.5 billion in market cap in just eight months—placing it fifth among all stablecoins, just behind PayPal's PYUSD. Its velocity metric of 39 (average times each token changed hands) indicates genuine usage, not just speculative holding.

Some analysts, like Blockstreet's Kyle Klemmer, predict USD1 could become the dominant stablecoin before Trump's term ends in 2029. Whether that's achievable or hyperbole, the growth rate is undeniable.

PayPal USD: The Fintech Play

PayPal's PYUSD started 2025 at under $500 million market cap and has climbed to over $2.5 billion—adding $1 billion in the final two weeks of 2025 alone.

The limitation is obvious: PYUSD exists primarily within PayPal's ecosystem. Third-party exchange liquidity remains thin compared to USDT or USDC. But PayPal's distribution reach—over 400 million active accounts—represents a different kind of moat.

USDS: The DeFi Native

Sky Protocol's USDS (formerly DAI) has grown from $1.27 billion to $4.35 billion in 2025—a 243% increase. Among DeFi-native users, it remains the preferred decentralized alternative.

RLUSD: Ripple's Velocity King

Ripple's RLUSD achieved the highest velocity of any major stablecoin at 71—meaning each token changed hands 71 times on average during 2025. With only $1.3 billion in market cap, it's small but intensely used within Ripple's payment rails.

The Yield War: Why Distribution Will Define Winners

Here's the uncomfortable truth about stablecoins in 2026: the underlying product is largely commoditized. Every major stablecoin offers the same core value proposition—a dollar-pegged token backed by treasuries and cash equivalents.

The differentiation happens in distribution.

As Delphi Digital noted: "If issuance becomes commoditized, distribution will become the key differentiator. Stablecoin issuers most deeply integrated into payment rails, exchange liquidity, and merchant software are likely to capture the largest share of settlement demand."

This explains why:

  • Tether dominates exchanges: 75% of CEX stablecoin volume flows through USDT
  • Circle pays Coinbase so heavily: Distribution costs are the price of relevance
  • PayPal and Trump's USD1 matter: They bring existing user bases and political capital

The Regulatory Catalyst

The passage of the GENIUS Act in July 2025 fundamentally changed the competitive landscape. The law established the first federal regulatory framework for payment stablecoins, providing:

  • Clear licensing requirements for stablecoin issuers
  • Reserve and audit standards
  • Consumer protection provisions

For Circle, this was validation. As the most regulated major issuer, the GENIUS Act effectively blessed its compliance-heavy model. CRCL shares surged following the bill's passage.

For Tether, the implications are more complex. Operating primarily offshore, USDT faces questions about how it will adapt to a regulated U.S. market—or whether it will continue focusing on international growth where regulatory arbitrage remains possible.

What This Means for Builders

Stablecoins have achieved something remarkable: they're the first crypto product to reach genuine mainstream utility. With $33 trillion in 2025 transaction volume and over 500 million users, they've outgrown their origins as exchange trading pairs.

For developers and builders, several implications emerge:

  1. Multi-stablecoin support is table stakes: No single stablecoin will win everywhere. Applications need to support USDT for exchange liquidity, USDC for regulated markets, and emerging alternatives for specific use cases.

  2. Yield economics are shifting: The Coinbase-Circle model shows that distribution partners will capture increasing share of stablecoin economics. Building native integrations early matters.

  3. Regulatory clarity enables innovation: The GENIUS Act creates a predictable environment for stablecoin applications in payments, lending, and DeFi.

  4. Geographic arbitrage is real: Different stablecoins dominate different regions. USDT leads in Asia and emerging markets; USDC dominates U.S. institutional use.

The $318 Billion Question

The stablecoin market will likely exceed $500 billion by 2027 if current growth rates persist. The question isn't whether stablecoins will matter—it's who will capture the value.

Tether's $13 billion profit demonstrates the pure economics of the model. Circle's $63 billion market cap shows what investors will pay for regulatory positioning and growth potential. The challengers—USD1, PYUSD, USDS—prove the market isn't as locked up as it appears.

What remains constant is the underlying dynamic: stablecoins are becoming critical infrastructure for the global financial system. And the companies that control that infrastructure—whether through sheer scale like Tether, regulatory capture like Circle, or political capital like USD1—stand to profit enormously.

The stablecoin wars aren't about technology. They're about trust, distribution, and who gets to keep the yield on hundreds of billions of dollars. In that battle, the current leaders have massive advantages. But with 18% of the market now outside the duopoly and growing, the challengers aren't going away.


Building applications that need reliable stablecoin infrastructure across multiple chains? BlockEden.xyz provides enterprise-grade RPC endpoints and APIs for Ethereum, Sui, Aptos, and 20+ networks—giving you the blockchain connectivity layer your multi-chain stablecoin integration needs.

Inside the $1.5 Billion Bybit Heist: How North Korea Pulled Off History's Largest Crypto Theft

· 10 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

On February 21, 2025, North Korean hackers stole $1.5 billion in cryptocurrency from Dubai-based exchange Bybit in approximately 30 minutes. It wasn't just the largest crypto heist in history—if Bybit were a bank, it would rank as the largest bank robbery ever recorded by Guinness World Records.

The attack didn't exploit a smart contract bug or brute-force a private key. Instead, hackers compromised a single developer's laptop at a third-party wallet provider, waited patiently for weeks, and struck when Bybit employees were approving what looked like a routine internal transfer. By the time anyone realized something was wrong, 500,000 ETH had vanished into a labyrinth of wallets controlled by North Korea's Lazarus Group.

This is the story of how it happened, why it matters, and what it reveals about the state of crypto security in 2025.

The Attack: A Masterclass in Patience and Precision

The Bybit hack wasn't a smash-and-grab. It was a surgical operation that unfolded over weeks.

Phase 1: Compromising the Developer

On February 4, 2025, a developer at Safe{Wallet}—a widely-used multi-signature wallet platform that Bybit relied on for securing large transfers—downloaded what appeared to be a legitimate Docker project called "MC-Based-Stock-Invest-Simulator-main." The file likely arrived via a social engineering attack, possibly disguised as a job opportunity or investment tool.

The malicious Docker container immediately established a connection to an attacker-controlled server. From there, the hackers extracted AWS session tokens from the developer's workstation—the temporary credentials that grant access to Safe{Wallet}'s cloud infrastructure.

With these tokens, the attackers bypassed multi-factor authentication entirely. They now had the keys to Safe{Wallet}'s kingdom.

Phase 2: The Dormant Code

Rather than act immediately, the attackers injected subtle JavaScript code into Safe{Wallet}'s web interface. This code was specifically designed for Bybit—it would lie dormant until detecting that a Bybit employee had opened their Safe account and was about to authorize a transaction.

The sophistication here is remarkable. The entire Safe{Wallet} application functioned normally for every other user. Only Bybit was targeted.

Phase 3: The Heist

On February 21, 2025, Bybit employees initiated what should have been a routine transfer from a cold wallet (secure, offline storage) to a warm wallet (for active trading). This required multiple signatures from authorized personnel—a standard security practice called multisig.

When the signers opened Safe{Wallet} to approve the transaction, the interface displayed what appeared to be the correct destination address. But the malicious code had already swapped in a different command. The employees unknowingly approved a transaction that drained Bybit's entire cold wallet.

Within minutes, 500,000 ETH—worth approximately $1.5 billion—flowed to addresses controlled by the attackers.

The Technical Exploit: Delegatecall

The key vulnerability was Ethereum's delegatecall function, which allows a smart contract to execute another contract's code within its own storage context. The attackers tricked Bybit's signers into changing their wallet's contract logic to a malicious version, effectively granting full control to the hackers.

This wasn't a bug in Ethereum or in Safe{Wallet}'s core protocol. It was an attack on the human layer—the moment when trusted employees verify and approve transactions.

North Korea's Lazarus Group: The World's Most Profitable Hackers

Within 24 hours of the attack, blockchain investigator ZachXBT submitted evidence to Arkham Intelligence definitively connecting the hack to North Korea's Lazarus Group. The FBI confirmed this attribution on February 26, 2025.

Lazarus Group—also known as TraderTraitor and APT38—operates under North Korea's Reconnaissance General Bureau. It's not a criminal gang seeking profit for personal enrichment. It's a state-sponsored operation whose proceeds fund North Korea's nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs.

The numbers are staggering:

  • 2025 alone: North Korean hackers stole $2.02 billion in cryptocurrency
  • Bybit's share: $1.5 billion (74% of North Korea's 2025 haul from a single attack)
  • Since 2017: North Korea has stolen over $6.75 billion in crypto assets
  • 2025 vs 2024: 51% year-over-year increase in stolen value

North Korea accounted for 59% of all cryptocurrency stolen globally in 2025 and 76% of all exchange compromises. No other threat actor comes close.

The Industrialization of Crypto Theft

What makes North Korea different isn't just the scale—it's the sophistication of their operation.

Social Engineering Over Technical Exploits

The majority of 2025's major hacks were perpetrated through social engineering rather than technical vulnerabilities. This represents a fundamental shift. Hackers are no longer primarily hunting for smart contract bugs or cryptographic weaknesses. They're targeting people.

Lazarus Group operatives have embedded themselves as IT workers inside crypto companies. They've impersonated executives. They've sent job offers containing malware to developers. The Bybit attack began with a developer downloading a fake stock trading simulator—a classic social engineering vector.

The Chinese Laundromat

Stealing crypto is only half the challenge. Converting it to usable funds without getting caught is equally complex.

Rather than cash out directly, North Korea has outsourced money laundering to what investigators call the "Chinese Laundromat"—a sprawling network of underground bankers, OTC brokers, and trade-based laundering intermediaries. These actors wash stolen assets across chains, jurisdictions, and payment rails.

By March 20, 2025—less than a month after the Bybit hack—CEO Ben Zhou reported that hackers had already converted 86.29% of the stolen ETH to Bitcoin through multiple intermediary wallets, decentralized exchanges, and cross-chain bridges. The 45-day laundering cycle following major thefts has become a predictable pattern.

Despite these efforts, Zhou noted that 88.87% of the stolen assets remained traceable. But "traceable" doesn't mean "recoverable." The funds flow through jurisdictions with no cooperative relationship with U.S. or international law enforcement.

Bybit's Response: Crisis Management Under Fire

Within 30 minutes of discovering the breach, CEO Ben Zhou took command and began providing real-time updates on X (formerly Twitter). His message was blunt: "Bybit is Solvent even if this hack loss is not recovered, all of clients assets are 1 to 1 backed, we can cover the loss."

The exchange processed over 350,000 withdrawal requests within 12 hours—a signal to users that despite the catastrophic loss, operations would continue normally.

Emergency Funding

Within 72 hours, Bybit had replenished its reserves by securing 447,000 ETH through emergency funding from partners including Galaxy Digital, FalconX, and Wintermute. Bitget loaned 40,000 ETH to ensure withdrawals continued uninterrupted—a loan Bybit repaid within three days.

Cybersecurity firm Hacken conducted a proof-of-reserves audit confirming that Bybit's major assets were backed by more than 100% collateral. The transparency was unprecedented for a crisis of this magnitude.

The Bounty Program

Zhou declared "war against Lazarus" and launched a global bounty program offering up to 10% rewards for information leading to frozen assets. By year's end, Bybit had paid $2.18 million in USDT to contributors who helped trace or recover funds.

The Market's Verdict

By the end of 2025, Bybit had crossed 80 million users globally, recorded $7.1 billion in daily trading volume, and ranked 5th among cryptocurrency spot exchanges. The crisis response had become a case study in how to survive a catastrophic hack.

2025: The Year Crypto Theft Hit $3.4 Billion

The Bybit hack dominated headlines, but it was part of a broader pattern. Total cryptocurrency theft reached $3.4 billion in 2025—a new record and the third consecutive year of increases.

Key statistics:

  • 2023: $2 billion stolen
  • 2024: $2.2 billion stolen
  • 2025: $3.4 billion stolen

North Korea's share grew from roughly half to nearly 60% of all crypto theft. The DPRK achieved larger thefts with fewer incidents, demonstrating increasing efficiency and sophistication.

Lessons Learned: Where Security Failed

The Bybit hack exposed critical vulnerabilities that extend far beyond a single exchange.

Third-Party Risk Is Existential

Bybit didn't have a security failure. Safe{Wallet} did. But Bybit suffered the consequences.

The crypto industry has built complex dependency chains where exchanges rely on wallet providers, wallet providers rely on cloud infrastructure, and cloud infrastructure relies on individual developer workstations. A compromise anywhere in this chain can cascade catastrophically.

Cold Storage Isn't Enough

The industry has long treated cold wallets as the gold standard of security. But Bybit's funds were in cold storage when they were stolen. The vulnerability was in the process of moving them—the human approval step that multisig was designed to protect.

When transfers become routine, signers develop a false sense of security, treating approvals as formalities rather than critical security decisions. The Bybit attack exploited exactly this behavioral pattern.

The UI Is a Single Point of Failure

Multisig security assumes that signers can verify what they're approving. But if the interface displaying transaction details is compromised, verification becomes meaningless. The attackers showed signers one thing while executing another.

Pre-signing simulations—allowing employees to preview the actual destination of a transaction before approval—could have prevented this attack. So could delays for large withdrawals, giving time for additional review.

Social Engineering Beats Technical Security

You can have the most sophisticated cryptographic security in the world, and a single employee downloading the wrong file can bypass all of it. The weak point in cryptocurrency security is increasingly human, not technical.

Regulatory and Industry Implications

The Bybit hack is already reshaping the regulatory landscape.

Expect mandatory requirements for:

  • Hardware security modules (HSMs) for key management
  • Real-time transaction monitoring and anomaly detection
  • Regular third-party security audits
  • Enhanced AML frameworks and transaction delays for large transfers

Security and compliance are becoming thresholds for market access. Projects that cannot demonstrate strong key management, permission design, and credible security frameworks will find themselves cut off from banking partners and institutional users.

What This Means for the Industry

The Bybit hack reveals an uncomfortable truth: crypto's security model is only as strong as its weakest operational link.

The industry has invested heavily in cryptographic security—zero-knowledge proofs, threshold signatures, secure enclaves. But the most sophisticated cryptography is irrelevant if an attacker can trick a human into approving a malicious transaction.

For exchanges, the message is clear: security innovation must extend beyond technology to encompass operational processes, third-party risk management, and continuous employee training. Regular audits, collaborative threat intelligence sharing, and incident response planning are no longer optional.

For users, the lesson is equally stark: even the largest exchanges with the most sophisticated security can be compromised. Self-custody, hardware wallets, and distributed asset storage remain the safest long-term strategies—even if they're less convenient.

Conclusion

North Korea's Lazarus Group has industrialized cryptocurrency theft. They've stolen over $6.75 billion since 2017, with 2025 marking their most successful year yet. The Bybit hack alone—$1.5 billion in a single operation—demonstrates capabilities that would make any intelligence agency envious.

The crypto industry is in an arms race with state-sponsored hackers who have unlimited patience, sophisticated technical capabilities, and no fear of consequences. The Bybit attack succeeded not because of any novel exploit but because attackers understood that humans, not code, are the weakest link.

Until the industry treats operational security with the same rigor it applies to cryptographic security, these attacks will continue. The question isn't whether another billion-dollar hack will happen—it's when, and whether the target will respond as effectively as Bybit did.


This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and prioritize security when interacting with cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets.

Hong Kong vs Mainland China: A Tale of Two Crypto Policies Under One Country

· 9 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

Fifty kilometers apart, two regulatory systems govern crypto with such stark opposition that they might as well exist in different universes. Mainland China bans all cryptocurrency trading, mining, and as of November 2025, even stablecoins—while Hong Kong actively courts the industry with an expanding licensing framework, spot ETFs, and ambitions to become Asia's preeminent digital asset hub. The "One Country, Two Systems" principle has never been more dramatically illustrated than in how these jurisdictions approach Web3.

For builders, investors, and institutions navigating the Greater China market, understanding this regulatory divergence isn't just academic—it's existential. The difference between operating 50 kilometers north or south of the border can mean the difference between building a licensed, regulated business and facing criminal prosecution.


The Mainland Position: Total Prohibition Reinforced

China's stance on cryptocurrency has hardened into one of the world's most comprehensive bans. What began as restrictions in 2013 has evolved into blanket prohibition covering virtually every aspect of the crypto ecosystem.

The 2025 Crackdown Intensifies

On November 28, 2025, Chinese financial and judicial authorities convened to reinforce their position: all crypto-related business activities are illegal in mainland China. The enforcement decree, effective June 1, 2025, established clear penalties including transaction suspension and asset seizure.

The most significant development was the explicit ban on stablecoins—including those pegged to major global or domestic fiat currencies. This closed what many considered the last gray area in Chinese crypto regulation.

Key prohibitions now include:

  • Mining, trading, and even holding crypto assets
  • Issuing, exchanging, or raising funds using tokens or stablecoins
  • RWA (Real-World Asset) tokenization activities
  • Domestic staff participation in offshore tokenization services

The enforcement framework is formidable. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) leads regulatory efforts, directing financial institutions to block crypto-related transactions. The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) polices the internet, shutting down websites, apps, and social media accounts promoting crypto. Technical infrastructure enabling tokenization faces active monitoring and disruption.

The Blockchain Exception

Yet China's policy isn't anti-blockchain—it's anti-crypto. Officials announced a roadmap for national blockchain infrastructure targeting 400 billion yuan ($54.5 billion) in annual investments over five years. The distinction is clear: permissioned, state-controlled blockchain good; permissionless, token-based systems bad.

The digital yuan (e-CNY) continues receiving state backing and active development, representing China's vision for controlled digital currency innovation. By separating blockchain infrastructure from tradeable tokens, China maintains technological competitiveness while preserving capital controls and monetary sovereignty.

Underground Reality

Despite comprehensive prohibition, enforcement faces practical limits. China is estimated to have approximately 59 million crypto users as of 2025, operating through P2P platforms and VPN-based wallet access. The gap between policy and reality creates ongoing challenges for regulators and opportunities—albeit illegal ones—for determined participants.


Hong Kong's Contrasting Vision: Regulated Embrace

While the mainland prohibits, Hong Kong regulates. The Special Administrative Region has constructed an increasingly sophisticated framework designed to attract legitimate crypto businesses while maintaining robust investor protections.

The VASP Licensing Framework

Since June 2023, all Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs) serving Hong Kong investors must hold an SFC-issued license. The requirements are stringent:

RequirementDetails
Asset CustodyAt least 98% of client assets in cold storage
Fund SegregationComplete separation of client and company assets
KYC/AMLMandatory checks and suspicious transaction reporting
Travel RuleCompliance for transfers exceeding HKD 8,000
ManagementFit and proper personnel with cybersecurity safeguards

Licensed exchanges include HashKey Exchange, OSL Digital Securities, and HKVAX—platforms that can legally serve both retail and institutional investors.

The Stablecoin Ordinance

Effective August 1, 2025, Hong Kong introduced dedicated licensing for fiat-referenced stablecoin issuers. Requirements include:

  • Minimum paid-up share capital of HKD 25 million
  • Full reserve backing with high-quality, liquid assets
  • Regulatory approval from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority

This positions Hong Kong to host compliant stablecoin issuers at a time when mainland China has explicitly banned all stablecoin activities.

Spot ETF Success

Hong Kong made history on April 30, 2024, launching Asia's first spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Six virtual asset ETFs began trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, issued by Harvest Global Investments, HashKey Capital/Bosera Asset Management, and China Asset Management's Hong Kong unit.

By late December 2024, Hong Kong crypto ETF assets reached $467 million—modest compared to U.S. ETF assets exceeding $122 billion, but significant for the region. The spot Bitcoin ETFs accumulated 4,560 BTC ($444.6 million), while Ether funds held 16,280 ETH ($59.6 million).

In 2025, the expansion continued with Pando Finance launching the city's first Bitcoin ETF of the year and Hong Kong approving its first Solana ETF—a product category not yet available in the United States.

The ASPIRe Roadmap

The SFC's "ASPIRe" roadmap articulates Hong Kong's ambitions to become a global digital asset hub. On June 26, 2025, the Financial Services and Treasury Bureau (FSTB) issued its second policy statement advancing this strategic vision.

Key November 2025 developments included:

  • Expansion of products and services for licensed VATPs
  • Integration of order books with global affiliate platforms
  • Enabling shared global liquidity for Hong Kong exchanges

2026 Legislative Plans

Hong Kong plans to introduce legislative proposals for virtual asset dealers and custodians in 2026. The new licensing framework under the Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing Ordinance will create requirements modeled on existing Type 1 securities rules—meaning crypto dealers will follow the same strict standards as traditional finance.

Consultations on regulating virtual asset advisory and management services closed in January 2026, with implementation expected later in the year.


Side-by-Side Comparison

The regulatory contrast couldn't be sharper:

DimensionMainland ChinaHong Kong
Crypto TradingBanned (criminal penalties)Legal (licensed exchanges)
MiningBannedNot explicitly prohibited
StablecoinsExplicitly banned (Nov 2025)Regulated (HKMA licensing)
ICOs/Token IssuanceBannedRegulated case-by-case
Retail AccessProhibitedAllowed on licensed platforms
Spot ETFsNot availableApproved (BTC, ETH, SOL)
RWA TokenizationBannedUnder development
Regulatory ApproachProhibition + enforcementRegulation + innovation
CBDCe-CNY (state-controlled)HKD stablecoins (private)
Estimated Users~59 million (underground)Growing (licensed)

Strategic Implications

For Exchanges and Trading Platforms

Mainland operations are impossible. Hong Kong offers a legitimate path to serving Chinese-speaking markets, but strict licensing requirements demand significant investment. The passporting potential—reaching global liquidity through Hong Kong licenses—makes compliance economically attractive for serious operators.

For Stablecoin Issuers

The contrast creates clear routing: Hong Kong welcomes compliant issuers with substantial reserve requirements; mainland China criminalizes the entire category. For projects targeting Greater China, Hong Kong licensing is the only legitimate option.

For Institutional Investors

Hong Kong's ETF framework and expanding product offerings create regulated access points. The combination of spot ETFs, licensed custody, and traditional finance integration makes Hong Kong increasingly attractive for institutional allocation to digital assets.

For Web3 Builders

The arbitrage opportunity is geographic. Hong Kong permits innovation within regulatory bounds; mainland China permits blockchain innovation only without tokens. Projects requiring token economics must locate in Hong Kong; pure blockchain infrastructure may find mainland resources and market access valuable.

For the Industry

Hong Kong's regulatory development represents a proof-of-concept for comprehensive crypto regulation within the Chinese legal tradition. Success could influence other Asian jurisdictions and potentially—though this remains speculative—inform eventual mainland policy evolution.


The Equilibrium Question

How long can such divergent policies coexist? The "One Country, Two Systems" framework permits significant regulatory divergence, but mainland authorities have historically shown willingness to intervene when Hong Kong policies conflict with national interests.

Several factors suggest the current equilibrium may be stable:

Arguments for stability:

  • Hong Kong's role as international financial center requires regulatory compatibility with global markets
  • Digital asset regulation doesn't threaten core mainland concerns (territorial integrity, political control)
  • Hong Kong serves as a controlled experiment and potential release valve
  • Capital controls remain enforceable through mainland banking systems

Arguments for potential convergence:

  • Mainland enforcement increasingly targets offshore service providers with domestic staff
  • Success in Hong Kong could attract mainland capital through gray channels
  • Political pressure could align Hong Kong more closely with mainland positions

The November 2025 mainland statement extending enforcement to "domestic staff of offshore service providers" suggests authorities are aware of and actively countering regulatory arbitrage.


Conclusion: Navigating the Divide

The Hong Kong-Mainland divide offers a stark lesson in regulatory philosophy. Mainland China prioritizes capital controls, financial stability, and monetary sovereignty—choosing prohibition as the simplest enforcement mechanism. Hong Kong prioritizes international competitiveness and financial innovation—choosing regulation as the path to managed participation.

For market participants, the practical implications are clear:

  1. Mainland China: Zero legal tolerance for crypto activity. The 59 million estimated users operate entirely outside legal protection.

  2. Hong Kong: Expanding opportunities within a demanding regulatory framework. Licensed operations gain access to both local and global markets.

  3. The border matters: 50 kilometers creates entirely different legal realities. Corporate structuring, staff location, and operational jurisdiction require careful consideration.

As Hong Kong continues building its regulatory infrastructure through 2026 and beyond, it offers an increasingly compelling case study in how jurisdictions can embrace digital assets while maintaining robust investor protections. Whether this experiment influences broader regional or even mainland policy remains to be seen—but for now, the tale of two crypto policies continues to unfold just 50 kilometers apart.


References