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Nifty Gateway's Final Curtain Call: Inside the NFT Market's 86% Collapse and What Comes Next

· 8 min read
Dora Noda
Software Engineer

When Grimes sold her "WarNymph" NFT collection for $6 million in just 20 minutes on Nifty Gateway in early 2021, the digital art world seemed limitless. Five years later, the platform where that sale happened—where Beeple's "CROSSROAD" resold for a record-breaking $6.6 million—is entering withdrawal-only mode. On February 23, 2026, Nifty Gateway will shut down permanently, taking with it one of the most iconic names from the NFT boom era.

The closure isn't surprising. It's the latest tombstone in an NFT graveyard that keeps growing. What's remarkable is how quickly the industry went from $17 billion in market cap to $2.4 billion—and how the platforms, artists, and collectors who defined the boom are navigating the bust.

The Rise and Fall of Nifty Gateway

Nifty Gateway was different from the start. Launched in 2020 by twin brothers Duncan and Griffin Cock Foster, acquired by Gemini in 2019, the platform pioneered something radical: accepting credit cards for NFT purchases. In a crypto-native market that demanded wallets and gas fees, Nifty Gateway let anyone with a Visa buy digital art.

The strategy worked spectacularly—for a while. By mid-2021, the platform had facilitated over $300 million in sales. Its curated "drops" with artists like Beeple, XCOPY, and Trevor Jones became cultural events. When Grimes dropped her collection, it wasn't just a sale; it was a moment that made mainstream headlines wonder if digital art was the future of collecting.

But the future arrived faster than expected—and it looked nothing like anyone predicted.

In April 2024, Nifty Gateway pivoted away from marketplace operations, rebranding as Nifty Gateway Studio to focus on building on-chain creative projects with brands and artists. That pivot failed to reverse the decline. Parent company Gemini announced the shutdown will "allow Gemini to sharpen its focus and execute on the vision of building a one-stop super app for customers."

Users now have until February 23 to withdraw any NFTs or funds through a connected Gemini Exchange account or to their bank via Stripe. The platform that once moved millions in minutes is now counting down its final days.

The Numbers Tell a Brutal Story

The NFT market didn't just decline—it collapsed. Consider the trajectory:

Market Cap Destruction

  • Peak (April 2022): $17 billion
  • January 2025: $9.2 billion
  • December 2025: $2.4 billion
  • Current: $2.8 billion

That's an 86% drop from peak to trough, with most of the damage concentrated in the past 18 months.

Volume Evaporation

  • 2024 total sales: $8.9 billion
  • 2025 total sales: $5.63 billion (37% decline)
  • Weekly sales in late 2025 consistently stayed below $70 million—a figure that would have been a slow morning in 2021

Art NFT Apocalypse The art segment—the category that defined the boom—suffered most severely:

  • 2021 volume: $2.9 billion
  • 2024 volume: $197 million
  • Q1 2025 volume: $23.8 million

That's a 93% collapse from peak. The top 20 most-traded art NFT collections from 2021 experienced an average 95% decline in both trading volume and sales by 2024.

Price Compression

  • Average NFT sale price (2021-2022 peak): $400+
  • Average NFT sale price (2024): $124
  • Average NFT sale price (2025): $96

User Exodus

  • Peak active traders (2022): 529,101
  • Q1 2025 active traders: 19,575

That's a 96% decline in market participants. Around 96% of NFT collections are now considered "dead"—showing no trading activity, sales, or community engagement. For context, only 30% were inactive back in 2023.

The Marketplace Massacre

Nifty Gateway isn't alone. The past 18 months have seen a wave of platform closures and pivots:

X2Y2 (Closed April 2025): Once trailing only OpenSea in trading volume during the 2021 boom, X2Y2 shut down after a 90% decline from peak volumes. "Marketplaces live or die by network effects," said X2Y2's founder. "We fought to be #1, but after three years, it's clear it's time to move on." The team pivoted to AI.

LG Art Lab (Closed): Electronics giant LG quietly halted its NFT platform.

Kraken NFT (Closed February 2025): The exchange waved goodbye to its NFT marketplace.

RTFKT (Closed January 2025): Nike's NFT fashion studio, acquired in 2021 when the company became the world's highest-earning brand from NFT sales, shut down Web3 operations entirely.

Bybit NFT (Closed): Another major exchange exited the space.

Even the survivors are struggling. Blur, which debuted at its peak and briefly captured 50% market share in early 2023, has seen its TVL hit new lows with its token price down 99% from highs. OpenSea, historically dominant, processed $2.6 billion in trading volume in October 2025—but over 90% came from fungible token trading rather than NFTs.

Blue-Chip Bloodbath

The flagship collections that defined NFT "legitimacy" haven't been spared:

CryptoPunks: Floor price collapsed from 125 ETH at peak to approximately 29 ETH—a 77% decline.

Bored Ape Yacht Club: Floor dropped from 30 ETH to 5.5 ETH—an 82% decline.

Both collections experienced additional 12-28% floor price declines in late 2025 alone. The "blue chip" thesis—that certain NFTs would hold value like blue-chip stocks—has been thoroughly tested and found wanting.

What's Actually Happening

The NFT collapse isn't random. Several structural forces drove the bust:

Supply Overwhelmed Demand: Creating NFTs became increasingly easy and low-cost throughout 2024-2025, while collector demand declined due to poor investment performance. Supply grew 35% annually while sales volumes fell 37%, creating severe price pressure.

The Speculation Premium Evaporated: Most NFT purchases during the boom were speculative—buyers anticipated flipping for profit. When prices stopped rising, the speculation premium vanished, revealing a much smaller market of genuine collectors.

Macroeconomic Headwinds: Broader uncertainty pressured all risk-on assets. NFTs, positioned at the extreme speculative end, faced the harshest correction.

Platform Dependency: Many NFT projects relied on specific platforms for liquidity and discovery. As platforms closed or pivoted, collections became stranded.

Utility Gap: The "utility" promised by many projects—exclusive access, metaverse integration, token rewards—largely failed to materialize in meaningful ways.

The Survivors and the Pivot

Not everyone is abandoning ship. Some artists and platforms are adapting:

Beeple's Physical Pivot: At Art Basel Miami Beach 2025, Beeple presented "Regular Animals"—animatronic robot dogs with hyperrealistic heads resembling Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, and Mark Zuckerberg, priced around $100,000 per piece. His "Diffuse Control" work, examining distributed authorship through AI, has exhibited at LACMA. The artist who defined NFT peaks is now working across physical and digital mediums.

OpenSea's Expansion: Rather than dying with NFTs, OpenSea evolved into a "trade everything" platform supporting 22 blockchains and multiple asset types.

Art-First Platforms: Some specialized platforms focusing on curated art rather than speculative trading continue operating, though at dramatically reduced volumes.

What Comes Next

The NFT market's future is contested. Bulls point to early 2026 signs: overall market capitalization increased by over $220 million in the first week of January 2026. Some analysts project the global NFT market could reach $46-65 billion by end of 2026 if adoption continues.

Bears see a different picture. Statista projects NFT revenue will actually decline from $504.3 million in 2025 to $479.1 million in 2026—a -5% growth rate. The structural issues that caused the collapse haven't been resolved.

The most realistic view may be that NFTs aren't disappearing—they're finding their actual market size. The boom priced in mass adoption that never came. The bust reveals a smaller but potentially sustainable market for digital art, collectibles, and specific utility applications like gaming and ticketing.

Lessons from the Graveyard

Nifty Gateway's closure offers several lessons for the broader crypto and Web3 space:

Platform Risk Is Real: Building entire businesses or creative practices on centralized platforms carries existential risk. When Nifty Gateway closes, artists lose a primary sales channel and collectors lose a marketplace for secondary sales.

Speculation Isn't Adoption: High transaction volumes driven by flipping aren't the same as genuine market demand. The NFT market confused the two and is now paying the price.

Pivots Have Limits: Nifty Gateway's 2024 pivot to Studio operations didn't save it. Sometimes markets close, and no amount of pivoting can change that.

Custody Matters: Users now have one month to withdraw assets. Those who ignore the deadline may face complications. In crypto, not your keys, not your coins—and not your NFTs either.

The platform that hosted Grimes's historic sale, that watched Beeple's work break records, that seemed for a moment to represent the future of art ownership, is now entering its final month. Whether NFTs recover or continue declining, the era that Nifty Gateway represented—of mainstream hype, celebrity drops, and speculation dressed as collecting—is definitively over.

What remains to be built may be smaller, but it might also be more real.


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