ZK Proving Cost Economics: Hardware Improvements Reshaping Rollup Viability

I have been tracking the economics of ZK proof generation since 2023, and the cost trajectory over the past two years has been nothing short of remarkable. What was once the single biggest argument against ZK rollups – “proving is too expensive” – is rapidly becoming irrelevant. But the details of how and why costs are dropping deserve deeper analysis than the headline “90% reduction” suggests.

The Cost Stack: Breaking Down What “Proving Cost” Actually Means

When people say ZK proving costs X dollars per transaction, they are collapsing several distinct cost components into a single number. Let me decompose this:

1. Compute cost (the dominant factor)

This is the raw cost of running the mathematical computation to generate a zero-knowledge proof. It depends on the size and complexity of the computation being proved, the proof system used (STARK, SNARK, or hybrid), and the hardware running the prover (CPU, GPU, FPGA, or ASIC).

In 2023, proving a batch of around 1,000 transactions on a zkEVM cost roughly $50-100 in compute, predominantly on CPU-based provers. Today, the same batch costs $2-10 on GPU-based provers and is projected to cost under $1 on upcoming FPGA and ASIC hardware.

2. Memory cost

ZK proving is memory-intensive. STARK provers in particular require large amounts of RAM to hold polynomial evaluations and Merkle tree states. A production STARK prover for a zkEVM typically needs 128-512 GB of RAM per proving instance. This is a meaningful infrastructure cost that does not get enough attention.

3. Proof aggregation overhead

Most production ZK rollups do not post one proof per batch. They aggregate multiple batch proofs into a single proof before posting to L1. This aggregation step has its own compute cost, but it dramatically reduces L1 verification gas costs by amortizing a single on-chain verification across many batches.

4. L1 verification gas cost

The cost of verifying the final proof on Ethereum L1. Post-Fusaka, this is roughly 200-300K gas for a SNARK proof, which at current gas prices translates to $0.50-2.00 per verification. Divided across the thousands of transactions in the aggregated proof, this is essentially negligible per transaction.

The Hardware Revolution

The most impactful driver of cost reduction has been the transition from CPU-based to GPU-based proving, with FPGA and ASIC solutions on the horizon.

GPU Proving (Current State of the Art)

Modern GPU provers exploit the massive parallelism of number theory transforms (NTTs) and multi-scalar multiplications (MSMs), which are the core operations in both SNARK and STARK proving. NVIDIA A100 and H100 GPUs can perform these operations 50-100x faster than high-end CPUs.

Key implementations include Icicle by Ingonyama, an open-source GPU acceleration library supporting multiple proof systems with 10-50x speedup over CPU. Both Polygon and zkSync have custom CUDA implementations optimized for their specific proof systems. Running an H100 instance on major cloud providers costs roughly $2-4 per hour. At current proving speeds, this translates to $0.005-0.02 per transaction.

FPGA Proving (Emerging)

FPGAs offer a middle ground between GPUs and ASICs: better energy efficiency than GPUs with more flexibility than ASICs. Companies like Cysic and Ulvetanna (now part of Fabric Cryptography) are developing FPGA-based proving solutions. They offer 5-10x better energy efficiency than GPUs and lower latency for time-critical operations. The main barrier is development complexity – FPGA development requires specialized hardware engineering skills that are even scarcer than ZK cryptography expertise.

ASIC Proving (12-18 Month Horizon)

Purpose-built ZK proving ASICs represent the theoretical floor for proving costs. Fabric Cryptography is building general-purpose ZK ASICs targeting both SNARK and STARK operations. Cysic is developing ZK-specific hardware with a roadmap from FPGA to ASIC. The challenge is the chicken-and-egg problem: proof systems are still evolving, and an ASIC designed for today’s system may be suboptimal for tomorrow’s.

The Economics at Scale

Here is where the analysis gets interesting. The total cost of running a ZK rollup has a significant fixed component and a variable component that scales sublinearly with transaction volume.

At low volume (1,000 TPS): proving costs roughly $0.01-0.02 per transaction, with L1 verification and infrastructure adding small amounts. Total comes to approximately $0.02-0.03.

At high volume (10,000 TPS): proving drops to $0.002-0.005 per transaction, bringing total costs to roughly $0.003-0.006.

Compare this to optimistic rollups at similar scale – sequencer operation plus L1 data posting comes to roughly $0.002-0.006 per transaction. The cost gap between ZK and optimistic rollups at high volume is essentially gone. And at high volume, the ZK rollup offers fundamentally better security and finality properties for a similar price.

The Flywheel Effect

What excites me most is the flywheel dynamic: cheaper proving enables more ZK applications, which drives hardware investment, which drives further cost reductions. We are in the early stages of a proving cost spiral that mirrors what happened with GPU computing in the deep learning era.

Fusaka’s upgrades accelerated this by reducing the on-chain verification bottleneck. Now that L1 verification is cheap, the focus shifts entirely to off-chain proving efficiency – and that is where hardware competition is fiercest.

Within two years, I expect ZK proving costs to be a rounding error in rollup operating expenses. The question will shift from “can we afford to prove?” to “can we afford not to?”

What are others seeing on the hardware side? Anyone running production provers who can share real-world cost data?

Sources: CoinGecko ZK proofs and rollups, Permatech ZK proofs in Web3 security 2026, Chainlink ZK proof projects overview

Brian, this is an excellent cost breakdown. I want to add some data from my side – I have been tracking on-chain proving costs across all major ZK rollups as part of our analytics platform, and the numbers tell an interesting story.

I pulled L1 verification gas data for the past 6 months across zkSync Era, Starknet, Polygon zkEVM, Scroll, and Linea. Here is what the trends look like:

Average L1 verification cost per proof (in gas):

  • Pre-Fusaka (Aug 2025): 500K-2M gas depending on proof system
  • Post-Fusaka (Dec 2025): 200K-400K gas
  • Current (Feb 2026): 180K-350K gas (continued optimization)

Average number of L2 transactions per L1 proof:

  • zkSync Era: ~2,000-5,000 transactions per proof (heavy aggregation)
  • Starknet: ~1,500-3,000 via SHARP batching
  • Polygon zkEVM: ~500-1,500 (still ramping aggregation)
  • Scroll: ~300-800 (newer, smaller batches)

The amortization effect Brian describes is real and measurable. zkSync Era, which has the highest throughput, achieves the lowest per-transaction L1 cost precisely because they aggregate more aggressively.

But here is the part that surprised me: the off-chain proving costs are harder to track because most rollup teams do not publish them. This is a transparency problem. We can verify L1 gas costs on-chain, but the off-chain prover infrastructure costs are opaque. I have had to estimate them based on cloud computing prices and publicly available benchmark data.

My estimates for off-chain proving costs per transaction:

  • GPU-based (H100): $0.005-0.015 per tx at current throughput
  • This is roughly 3-5x the L1 verification cost per tx
  • Total (L1 + off-chain): $0.008-0.025 per tx

For comparison, the median L2 transaction fee users pay on these chains is $0.01-0.10. So proving costs represent roughly 10-50% of current user fees. As hardware improves and throughput increases, proving costs will shrink further as a percentage of fees, improving rollup margins.

One thing I would love to see: a standardized benchmark for ZK prover performance, similar to how we have TPC benchmarks for databases. Right now, every team reports their own numbers with different methodologies, making apples-to-apples comparison difficult. Brian, would there be interest in collaborating on an open prover benchmark suite?

Brian’s cost analysis is helpful, but I want to zoom out and ask the question that matters for anyone building a business on this technology: who is actually going to run these provers, and what is the business model?

Right now, proof generation is run by the rollup teams themselves – zkSync has their own provers, Starknet has SHARP, Polygon has their proving infrastructure. This is vertically integrated and operationally expensive. It also means the proving cost is a cost center, not a revenue stream.

This creates an interesting market opportunity: decentralized proving networks. Several projects are building marketplaces where anyone with GPU/FPGA hardware can bid on proving work:

  • =nil; Foundation has been building a proof marketplace
  • Gevulot is building a decentralized prover network
  • RiscZero’s Boundless offers proving-as-a-service

The pitch is straightforward – outsource proving to a competitive market, and the cost drops to marginal cost of compute plus a small margin. This is essentially what happened with cloud computing – in-house servers gave way to AWS, and costs dropped while reliability improved.

But there is a catch: proving markets introduce latency and reliability risk. If your prover marketplace is slow or unreliable, your rollup’s finality suffers. For a chain securing billions in TVL, the incentive to keep proving in-house (even at higher cost) is strong.

From a startup perspective, the business model question is: can a decentralized prover network achieve the reliability and latency that institutional-grade rollups demand? I am optimistic but cautious. The parallel to cloud computing is apt – it took years for enterprises to trust AWS with mission-critical workloads.

The hardware cost trajectory Brian outlines is bullish for the ZK rollup thesis overall. But the go-to-market for proving infrastructure is still being figured out, and that is where the business opportunities (and risks) lie.

Coming from the infrastructure operations side, I want to add some practical reality to this discussion. I have been running blockchain nodes for three years, and the operational profile of ZK provers is unlike anything else in the Web3 stack.

Brian’s cost estimates are roughly right for steady-state operation, but they miss some important operational costs:

Burst capacity planning. ZK provers need to keep up with transaction throughput. During traffic spikes (a hot NFT mint, a DeFi liquidation cascade, market volatility), the proving workload can increase 5-10x. If your prover infrastructure cannot handle the burst, you either queue proofs (delaying finality) or overprovision hardware (increasing steady-state costs). This is the same capacity planning problem I dealt with in traditional backend systems, but with higher stakes – delayed proofs mean delayed finality, which means delayed withdrawals.

Memory management is brutal. Brian mentioned 128-512 GB RAM per instance, and that is not an exaggeration. I have seen STARK provers consume 256 GB of RAM for a single proving job. This is not just expensive – it limits which cloud instances you can use. Not every availability zone has H100 instances with 512 GB of RAM readily available. Capacity planning and instance reservation become critical.

Monitoring and observability. When a traditional API server goes down, you get a 500 error and your users see an error page. When a ZK prover goes down, the rollup stops finalizing on L1. The blast radius is the entire chain. You need redundant proving infrastructure with automated failover, which doubles or triples the hardware cost compared to the theoretical minimum.

The DevOps talent gap. There are maybe a few hundred people worldwide who can competently operate production ZK proving infrastructure. I have been learning this for a year and still feel like a beginner. The intersection of distributed systems engineering, GPU computing, and cryptographic proof system operations is an extremely narrow skill set. This is a real hiring cost that does not show up in the hardware estimates.

All that said, I agree with Brian’s fundamental thesis – costs are dropping fast, and the trajectory is clear. But I want to make sure people building on these systems understand that running a ZK prover is not like running a Geth node. The operational complexity is a different beast entirely, and you should budget for that in your cost models.

Anyone else running production provers want to compare notes on operational challenges?